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India Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

While India did report growth in Indian petrochemicals production in 2015, this growth was largelyunspectacular, even as feedstock prices fell and profit margins grew. The long-term challenge to theindustry is removing the bureaucratic obstacles to investment, which would require greater governmentaction on land acquisition, corruption and environmental approvals.With a soaring domestic market and growing export-led manufacturing, India has significant potential andcould replace China as Asia's premier investment destination for petrochemicals. In 9M15, chemicalsgrowth was 4.5%, up from -0.3% in 2014, while rubber and plastic rose 3.1%, up from 2.5%. Averagegrowth in petrochemicals demand is forecast at 8% per annum over the next five years, with the polymermarket alone set to reach around 20mn tonnes by 2019. This provides a strong basis for sector expansion.

Table Of Contents

India Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 8
Political . 10
Economic ... 12
Operational Risk . 14
Industry Forecast .. 16
Polyester Chain . 19
Fertiliser .. 20
Table: India's Petrochemicals Sector Capacity, Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2019 . 21
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 23
Economic Analysis ... 23
Table: Agriculture Uptick Unlikely To Last 24
Table: Economic Activity (India 2014-2024) . 27
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 28
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ... 28
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 31
India Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index . 32
Market Overview ... 34
Industry Trends And Developments 39
Fertiliser .. 46
Upstream .. 49
Regulatory Environment .. 50
Company Profile 53
Gas Authority Of India . 53
Table: Financial Results (INRmn) 55
Indian Oil Corporation . 56
Table: Financial Results (INRmn) 58
Reliance Industries .. 60
Table: Financial Results 62
Regional Overview 63
Asia Overview . 63
Chinese Crackers Spark Concern as Crisis Blazes 64
A Rocky Surge in 2016 66
Global Industry Overview .. 69
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 69
2016 Feedstock Outlook .. 71
Could US Gas Run out? .. 72
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn .. 73
Long-term Outlook . 73
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 77
Demographic Forecast . 78
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 79
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 79
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 80
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) . 80
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 81
Glossary . 83
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . 83
Methodology .. 84
Industry Forecast Methodology 84
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 86
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 87
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 88

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ref:plp2015

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