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  4. > Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The overhaul of Indonesian petrochemicals producer Chandra Asri's cracker in 2015 will boost the firm'srevenues and output in 2016 and enable Indonesia to leverage the competitive advantages it enjoys innaphtha feedstock as well as the falling value of the rupiah. However, the market remains dependent onimports and expansion is not happening at a fast enough pace to fulfil local demand.Indonesia is set to witness a surge of capacity over the next five years. Chandra Asri is targeting a revenueincrease of at least 30% in 2016 when its annual production of ethylene and propylene is expected toincrease to 860,000tpa and 470,000tpa, respectively, from 600,000tpa and 320,000tpa in 2015.Other forthcoming planned capacity includes a new synthetic rubber plant, PT Synthetic Rubber Indonesia,a joint venture between CAP and French tyre maker Compagnie Financière du Groupe Michelin which isdue to come onstream by 2017. The firm will also partner with BP develop a condensate splitter to producenaphtha. Indonesia currently imports all its naphtha requirement and the splitter is set to reduce imports to60% of local demand. The splitter is due to come onstream by 2019.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT .. 10
Political . 12
Economic ... 14
Operational Risk . 16
Industry Forecast .. 18
Table: Petrochemical Projects In Indonesia 20
Table: Indonesia's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2019 . 22
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 23
Economic Analysis ... 23
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings . 26
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ... 26
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 29
Indonesia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ... 30
Market Overview ... 31
Table: Indonesian Petrochemicals Sector Capacity 34
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Developments 35
Upstream .. 39
Table: Refineries In Indonesia . 42
Company Profile 43
Chandra Asri (CACP) .. 43
Table: Chandra Asri - Financial Results (USDmn) 45
Pertamina .. 46
Petrokimia Gresik (Petrogres) ... 50
Regional Overview 52
Asia Overview . 52
Chinese Crackers Spark Concern as Crisis Blazes 53
A Rocky Surge in 2016 55
Global Industry Overview .. 58
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 58
2016 Feedstock Outlook .. 60
Could US Gas Run out? .. 61
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn .. 62
Long-term Outlook . 62
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 66
Demographic Forecast . 67
Demographic Outlook .. 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) . 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) . 69
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) . 70
Glossary . 72
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . 72
Methodology .. 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 75
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 77

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