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  5. > Iran Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Iran Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 38 pages

BMI View

: The landmark Iranian nuclear agreement of July 2015 paves the way for the return to growth ofthe Iranian economy and for a strong uptick in foreign investment. Consumer demand, including foragricultural products, will be a strong beneficiary. The increased supply of inputs and potential investmentin capacity and infrastructure will improve the outlook for agricultural production growth in the country.However, such a development will depend on the country doing some key modernisation investment,particularly in irrigation, as Iran relies heavily on the vagaries of the weather. Therefore, productionexpansion will be slower than consumption growth in the coming years and Iran will remain a large andgrowing importer of key commodities.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 5.0% to 15.1mn tonnes. Wheat yields are expected to improveowing to the modernisation of technology, with the use of hardier grains variants, greater access torelevant inputs and a larger area of the country benefiting from new irrigation facilities.

- Sugar consumption growth to 2019: 27.6% to 3.0mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven bypopulation growth, as well as the improved macroeconomic conditions following the lifting of sanctions.

- Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 13.1% to 927,800 tonnes. Growth will be driven by domesticdemand and the effects of increased investment.

Table Of Contents

Iran Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 8
Agribusiness 8
Industry Forecast 10
Grains Outlook 10
Table: Iran - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 10
Table: Iran - Risks To Grains Outlook 11
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (IRAN 2011-2019) 13
Rice Outlook 15
Table: Iran - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Iran - Risks To Rice Outlook 16
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Iran 2011-2019) 18
Sugar Outlook 19
Table: Iran - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 19
Table: Iran - Risks To Sugar Outlook 19
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Iran 2011-2019) 21
Dairy Outlook 22
Table: Iran - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Iran - Risks To Dairy Outlook 22
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Iran 2011-2019) 25
Livestock Outlook 26
Table: Iran - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 26
Table: Iran - Risks To Livestock Outlook 27
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Iran 2011-2019) 29
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Iran 2011-2019) 29
Commodities Price Analysis 30
Global Commodities Strategy 30
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 30
Demographic Forecast 32
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 33
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 33
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 34
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 34
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 35
Methodology 37
Industry Forecast Methodology 37
Sector-Specific Methodology 38

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