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Mexico Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have revised our forecasts for the Mexican agricultural sector in our Q1 2016 report as we are now anticipating solid growth for the various segments of the industry out to the end of our forecast period in 2019. Growth rates will begin to weaken compared with previous years, but we foresee positive trends in domestic production and consumption in the dairy, sugar, livestock and coffee segments. We hold a subdued forecast for the grains market. Rising per capita disposable incomes will continue to deliver demand-side growth, but we hold our opinion that competitiveness remains an issue for the Mexican agricultural sector as a whole, particularly in the grains, livestock and sugar subsectors.
- With a large land area and a range of climates, Mexico is naturally suited to largescale agricultural production across a diversified range of products.
- Mexico's large population of more than 110mn provides a large supply of labour, with relatively low wages by developed country standards and a large market for goods.
- The North American Free Trade Agreement gives Mexican exports tariff-free access to the US.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Agribusiness 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Livestock Outlook 10
Table: Mexico Livestock production and Consumption Outlook . . 10
Table: Risks to Outlook 11
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Mexico 2013-2019) 13
Sugar Outlook .. 14
Table: Mexico - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook . 14
Table: Risks to Outlook 15
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Mexico 2013-2019) . 17
Coffee Outlook . 18
Table: Mexico Coffee Production and Consumption Outlook . . 18
Table: Risks to Outlook 19
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Mexico 2013-2019) 20
Dairy Outlook .. 21
Table: Mexico Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook . . 21
Table: Risks to Outlook 22
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Mexico 2013-2019) . 23
Grains Outlook 24
Table: Mexico Production and Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Risks to Outlook 25
Table: Grain Production and Consumption (Mexico 2013-2019) . 27
Commodities Price Analysis 28
Global Commodities Strategy 28
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts . 28
Upstream Analysis 30
Americas Fertiliser Outlook .. 30
Americas Machinery Outlook 35
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . 38
Americas GM Outlook 42
Downstream Analysis . 48
Food .. 48
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2012-2019) . . 49
Confectionery . 49
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2012-2019) . 50
Prepared/Canned Food 51
Meat . 51
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019) . 51
Fish .. 52
Oils And Fats . 52
Pasta 52
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . . 53
Dairy 53
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . . 53
Baked Products . 54
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . . 54
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019) . . 55
Regional Overview 56
Competitive Landscape . 62
Table: Main Agribusiness Players . 62
Demographic Forecast .. 63
Demographic Outlook 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025) . 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025) . . 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025) . 66
Methodology . 68
Industry Forecast Methodology . 68
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 69

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