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Romania Defence and Security Report 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 30 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect Romania's defence budget to increase, both in absolute terms and as a share ofGDP, in the next five years. This growth will be driven by the rising tensions in the Black Sea region, asRussia's increasingly aggressive stance in Ukraine and Moldova is prompting Romania to speed up theprocess of modernisation of its armed forces. Modernisation will initially focus on new equipment andstrengthening of capabilities for the army; creating opportunities for local suppliers, which manufacture arange of equipment in the ground segment. Over the longer term, we expect to see procurement of moretechnologically advanced equipment in other segments, such as aircraft, which will allow foreigncompanies to capture a greater share of the market.

Latest Developments

-Russia's aggressive stance on Ukraine, as well as its position on the Moldovan breakaway region ofTransnistria, are raising security concerns in Romania. This situation, coupled with Bucharest's recentpledge to strengthen the capabilities of Romania's armed forces, will drive an increase in the country'sdefence spending over the coming years. We expect Romanian defence expenditure to rise to USD2.9bnin 2016. This will bring the defence budget back to pre-financial crisis levels, representing a 1.8% shareof GDP (compared to 1.5% in 2015).

Table Of Contents

Romania Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Romania 2015-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Defence Expenditure 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (Romania 2014-2019) 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (Romania 2020-2025) 10
Armed Forces 11
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Romania 2008-2013) 12
Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Rewards 15
Risks 16
Market Overview 17
Defence Market Overview 17
Domestic Defence Sector 17
Domestic Market 18
Security Overview 19
Domestic Threats 20
International Threats 21
Company Profile 23
Aerostar 23
Airbus Helicopters Romania 24
IAR SA Brasov 25
Romaero 26
MFA Mizil 27
Methodology 28
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 28
Sector-Specific Methodology 29
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 29
Weighting 30
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 30

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