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South Africa Defence and Security Report 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: South Africa's defence budget will remain limited in the medium term, amid difficult economicconditions and as the government focuses spending on much-needed service delivery improvements ratherthan military development. Over the longer term, as the economy improves, defence spending will registergradual growth amid rising regional terrorist threats and domestic risks linked to crime and social unrest,necessitating investment into maintaining and improving the SANDF's capabilities. We expect exports fromthe well-developed South African defence industry to grow steadily over the next decade, as foreignengagement with local companies strengthens.Recent Developments:

- For FY2016/17, the government has allocated ZAR47bn (USD3bn) for defence. A significant share ofthe defence budget will be directed towards border safeguarding, peacekeeping missions, the AfricanCapacity for Immediate Response to Crises (ACIRC) and maritime operations, as well as OperationThusano, under which the South African National Defence Force (SANDF)'s armoured vehicles are beingmaintained and upgraded.

This will leave limited funding available for new procurement.

- South Africa's Paramount Group unveiled its new Mbombe 8 ICV at the Kazakhstan Defence Expo inearly-June 2016.

- In May 2016, Paramount announced the formal launch of a military/weaponised version of the AdvancedHigh-Performance Reconnaissance Light Aircraft (AHRLAC) - the Mwari. Boeing is developing anintegrated mission system for the aircraft and has agreed to promote the AHRLAC on the global market.

- In January 2016, Denel Group's Mechem announced it had developed a new armoured and mineprotectedrecovery vehicle based on its Casspir NG armoured personnel carrier.

- Denel Dynamics reported completion of its flight test programme for the Seeker 400 UAV system inAugust 2015.

- Denel Land Systems' Badger IFV reached the stage of 'Product Baseline One' in February 2016.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (South Africa 2016-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Defence Industry SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Defence Expenditure 11
Table: Defence Expenditure (South Africa 2014-2019) 12
Table: Defence Expenditure (South Africa 2020-2025) 12
Defence Trade 14
Table: South Africa - Key Defence Agreements 17
Industry Risk Reward Index 18
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 18
Table: Middle East And Africa - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 18
Rewards 19
Risks 19
Market Overview 21
Defence Market Overview 21
Domestic Defence Sector 21
Domestic Defence Market 25
Armed Forces Overview 27
Armed Forces 27
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (South Africa 2008-2013) 28
Table: SANDF - International Deployments 30
Security Overview 31
Domestic Threats 31
Regional Threats 34
International Threats 35
Company Profile 36
Aerosud 36
BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa 38
Denel 40
Reutech 43
Saab Grintek Defence 45
Thales South Africa 47
Methodology 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 52
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 52
Weighting 53
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 53

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