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Thailand Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 98 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Political risks will remain a hindrance to construction activity in Thailand over the long termfollowing the military government's rejection of the draft constitution, which underscores the country'suncertain political outlook. With the junta expected to remain in power until 2017, large-scale publictransport infrastructure projects are expected to benefit, driving construction activity over the near term.

Forecast and Latest Updates

- We forecast Thailand's construction register real growth of 14.8% and 4.3% in 2015 and 2016respectively. The expected growth surge in 2015 is largely owing to low base effects from 2014.

- Long-term political risk will weigh on private construction activity, with the military governmentremaining in power until at least 2017 at the earliest following the rejection of the draft constitution onSeptember 6 by the National Reform Council.

- Near-term political stability - considering that the junta will remain in power until 2017 - will bode wellfor the military government's large scale transport infrastructure development plans, a case in point beingthe Thailand-China Railway project which has gained traction over the past months.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Forecast and Latest Updates .. 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Thailand 2014-2020) . 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Thailand 2015-2015) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT .. 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates ... 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Thailand 2014-2024) 11
Table: Thai-China Railway Project Factbox . 17
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview .. 19
Latest Updates ... 19
Table: Competitiveness Of Thailand's Infrastructure 19
Table: Thailand - Railway Projects Planned (2015-2022) . 21
Table: Transport Projects 37
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 38
Latest Updates ... 38
Table: Thailand Power Development Plan 2015 . 39
Table: Power Capacity Plans For 2015-2036 39
Table: Thailand - Modules Awarded Under Water Management Scheme . 50
Table: Thailand - Parties Selected For Final Bidding Round Of Water Management Plan . 51
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects . 53
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview ... 54
Latest Updates ... 54
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Projects . 62
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 63
Thailand - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 63
Rewards .. 63
Risks .. 64
Asia Pacific Infrastructure RRI: Developed Markets Increasingly At Risk ... 65
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index . 71
Market Overview ... 72
Competitive Landscape . 72
Table: EQS Data . 72
Table: Key Amendments in Thailand PPP Law 75
Company Profile 77
CH Karnchang 77
Siam Cement .. 82
Italian-Thai Development .. 86
Methodology .. 91
Industry Forecast Methodology 91
Sector-Specific Methodology 92
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 96
Sector-Specific Methodology 97
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 97
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 98

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