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United Kingdom Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 82 pages

BMI View

: Above-trend growth is forecast for the British petrochemicals market, amid improved economicperformance. However, a strong pound and a lack of competitiveness mean that British plastic and rubberoutput is down, thereby fuelling petrochemicals imports.The British chemicals industry as a whole is in transition to higher-value, lower-volume production, havingclosed many basic chemicals and polymers capacities in recent years. This should put the industry in goodstead for profitability, although existing petrochemicals facilities will continue to feel the challenge offeedstock prices in competing with US and Middle Eastern rivals. In 9M15, British chemicals output grewby an average of 6.1% y-o-y while rubber and plastic output declined 2.8%.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: United Kingdom - Petrochemicals Sector (2012-2019f) 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts 18
Economic Analysis 18
Real GDP By Expenditure 21
Table: GDP By Expenditure (United Kingdom 2012-2019) 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 24
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 27
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 28
United Kingdom Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Market Overview 30
Industry Trends And Developments 33
Feedstock Issues 37
Regulation 38
Unconventional Gas 40
Company Profile 44
BP 44
Table: BP Financial Results (USDmn) 45
ExxonMobil Chemical 46
Table: ExxonMobil financial results (USDmn) 47
Ineos 48
Shell Chemicals UK 51
Regional Overview 55
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 55
Delays and Mothballing in the East 57
Global Industry Overview 63
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 63
2016 Feedstock Outlook 65
Could US Gas Run out? 66
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 67
Long-term Outlook 67
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 71
Demographic Forecast 72
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 73
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 73
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 75
Glossary 77
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 77
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 80
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 81
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 82

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