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United Kingdom Real Estate Report 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: With economic growth broadening out to the UK regions, we expect rental rates to grow acrossall three commercial real estate market sub-sectors we cover in 2016 Investors' desire to capture growthand secure higher returns should keep demand for property in which to invest high There are stillopportunities to take on development risk in the regions and suburban LondonUK economic growth slowed slightly in Q315, expanding by 05%, down from 07% in Q215 Acontraction in manufacturing and construction output was the main factor in this slower growth Meanwhile,the services sector has continued to be the key driver of economic expansion Business confidence hasincreased following the decisive outcome in the May 2015 general election, ending months of uncertaintyConsumer confidence is also improving, and with unemployment continuing to trend down and inflation atzero, consumer spending has been rising Overall, therefore, the economy looks set to post a solidperformance in 2015 as a whole, with BMI forecasting growth of 24% Through to 2019 we expect annualgrowth to average 24% That said, there are downside risks to this forecast With the Chinese economyslowing and a flurry of weak international data, the world economy seems to be losing momentum and thiscould hold back export growth and cut business investment in the UK

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 14
Office Forecast 14
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per sq m per month) 18
Table: Office Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 19
Retail Forecast 21
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 24
Table: Retail Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 25
Industrial Forecast 26
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 29
Table: Industrial Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 30
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (United Kingdom 2013-2018) 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (United Kingdom 2019-2024) 32
Table: Residential, Non-Residential and Social Infrastructure Projects 36
Macroeconomic Forecasts 38
Economic Analysis 38
Table: UK - Baseline Scenario 39
Table: UK - Risk Scenario: Interest Rate Shock 46
Table: UK - Stress Scenario: Global Growth Shock 50
Industry Risk/Reward Index 51
Table: Developed States Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 51
Rewards 51
Risks 52
Market Overview 53
Competitive Landscape 56
Property Developers 56
Property Managers 58
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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