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United States Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 112 pages

The US petrochemicals industry is expected to shrug off the challenge of loss of competitiveness in itsdominant ethane feedstock relative to naphtha used by producers in Europe and Asia. US production retainsa favourable edge in the cost curve, supply chains are well integrated and feed is sufficient to fulfil thedemand of new capacity going forward.The Chemical Activity Barometer (CAB), a leading economic indicator created by the American ChemistryCouncil, grew 1.7% y-o-y on average in H215 as measured on a three-month moving average (3MMA). TheCAB stabilised in November, rising 0.1% m-o-m following three consecutive months of decline. Thepattern reverses a downward trend that had begun to gain momentum. The CAB was up 1.3% y-o-y inNovember 2015, representing a deceleration of annual growth.

Table Of Contents

United States Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: US Petrochemicals Industry, 2012-2019 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts 17
Economic Analysis 17
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 20
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 20
Worsening market risk in Latin America 20
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 23
Market Overview 24
Table: Geographical Concentration Of Chemicals Production 25
Industry Trends And Developments 27
Mergers and Acquisitions 27
Cracker Developments 28
Table: US Petrochemical Expansions Based On Shale Gas 28
Polymers And Intermediates 30
Methanol 32
Fertiliser 33
Refining 33
Regulatory Development 35
Hydraulic Fracturing (Fracking) 36
Competitive Landscape 40
Upstream 40
Table: Olefins Production Capacity ('000tpa) 42
Aromatics 45
Table: Aromatics And Derivatives Capacity ('000tpa) 46
Mixed Xylenes 47
Table: Xylenes Capacity ('000tpa) 47
Table: US Polyethylene Manufacturing And Applications 48
Table: PE Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 49
Table: US PP Capacity ('000tpa) 54
Table: PVC Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 54
Table: PS Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 56
Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) 57
Table: US Petrochemicals Sector - PET Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 58
Company Profile 60
BP 60
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company 63
Dow Chemical 66
ExxonMobil 70
Huntsman 74
Table: Huntsman (USDmn) 75
Ineos 76
LyondellBasell 78
Table: LyondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn) 79
Shell Chemicals 81
Westlake Chemical 84
Table: Westlake Chemical Financial Results (USDmn) 85
Regional Overview 87
Americas Overview 87
Production Growth Concentrated in NAFTA 88
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 92
Global Industry Overview 93
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 93
2016 Feedstock Outlook 95
Could US Gas Run out? 96
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 97
Long-term Outlook 97
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 101
Demographic Forecast 102
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 103
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 103
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 104
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 104
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 105
Glossary 107
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 107
Methodology 108
Industry Forecast Methodology 108
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 110
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 111
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 112

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