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Venezuela Real Estate Report 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
Years of economic mismanagement and the fall in the price of oil have plunged Venezuela intoan economic crisis. Private sector investment has shrunk and consumer purchasing power has been erodeddue to hyper-inflation. The worsening economic conditions have impacted negatively on all three sectors ofthe commercial property market and we do not expect this to change in the short term.Venezuela's economy has continued to deteriorate since our last report. Diminished oil production anddwindling revenues are raising concerns over the country's ability to meet its debt obligations. Theexchange rate has depreciated and crime and violence has become more prevalent amid widespread scarcityof goods. The country's short term growth prospects are bleak. Runaway inflation and structural imbalancesare likely to keep the economy in recession in 2016 and 2017 as exports plummet and private and publicsector investment contracts. BMI forecasts indicate a fall of 7% in GDP this year and a further decline of1.6% in 2017.

Table Of Contents

Venezuela Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Office Forecast 15
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per sq m per month) 17
Table: Office Yields, 2010-2020 (%) 18
Retail Forecast 20
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per sq m per month) 23
Table: Retail Yields, 2010-2020 (%) 24
Industrial Forecast 25
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per sq m per month) 28
Table: Industrial Yields, 2010-2020 (%) 29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Macroeconomic Forecast 32
Economic Analysis 32
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
Venezuela - Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Latin America Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 2016 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 41
Property Developers 41
Property Managers 42
Demographic Forecast 43
Demographic Outlook 2015 43
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025) 44
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025) 44
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025) 46
Methodology 48
Industry Forecast Methodology 48
Sources 49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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