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Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Ecuador's infrastructure development will slow considerably over the next five years as thecountry faces the widest budget deficit in decades, mainly due to the sustained low oil price. Thegovernment's push for PPPs will be critical to maintaining growth in the construction industry, particularlyin the transport sector where there is a sizable project pipeline.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- After a considerable slowdown in Ecuador's construction industry growth in 2015, we expect growth toremain moderate over the coming years. We forecast an average of 3.1% real growth between 2016 and2020 by comparison to the 9.7% between 2010 and 2014.

- Falling oil prices will have a detrimental impact on the government's capacity to spend in infrastructuredevelopment, particularly for projects in the planning stage. Our Oil & Gas team forecasts Brent toaverage USD54/bbl in 2016.

- High urbanisation rates have increased demand for infrastructure in Ecuador - particularly transport andutilities infrastructure, as well as housing. However, weaknesses in the country's business environmentwill continue to present risks and cap growth. Chief among these will be financing.

Table Of Contents

Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ecuador 2014-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Ecuador) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Ecuador - PPPs Critical In Light Of Low Oil Prices 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ecuador 2014-2024) 9
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: Competitiveness Of Ecuador's Infrastructure 15
Table: Key Projects: Transport 19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 24
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 25
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Ecuador - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 30
Latin America - LatAm Infrastructure RRI: Ambitious Plans Will See Limited Realisation 31
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Market Overview 37
Competitive Landscape 37
Table: EQS Data 37
Company Profile 39
Isolux Corsán 39
Semaica, Sevilla y Martinez 42
Methodology 44
Industry Forecast Methodology 44
Sector-Specific Methodology 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Sector-Specific Methodology 50
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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