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France Defence and Security Report 2015

  • August 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: France possesses one the leading defence sectors globally, and local manufacturers - a growing
number of which are entering into international product development partnerships - export items across the world, in all segments of the industry. Domestic demand for defence equipment is increasingly being driven by efforts to enhance internal and external counter-terrorism capabilities. In addition, substantial amounts of funding are required for the maintenance of a large navy engaged in the protection of the French coastline, overseas territories, trade and nuclear submarines as well anti-drug-smuggling, trafficking and piracy missions. France's military expenditure therefore remains high in a global comparison - although budget growth is limited. While the French defence ministry sources the vast majority of equipment incountry, certain products - such as UAVs - are still procured from the US.

Under the government's initial military spending programme for 2014-2019, the French defence budget was set to remain static in nominal terms until 2016, after which it would rise gradually until 2019 - representing an overall decline in real terms. Another 24,000 defence jobs were to be slashed, as part of the government's efforts to rein in public spending amid weak economic growth. However, following the attacks by Islamist militants against the offices of satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo in Paris in January 2015, President Hollande announced that austerity cuts to this year's budget would be cancelled, and sector spending would be raised by EUR3.8BN (USD4.2bn) in 2016-2019 in order to strengthen counter-terrorism capabilities. Planned defence expenditure - excluding pensions and the gendarmerie - therefore stands at EUR31.2bn (USD33.9bn) for 2015, and EUR32.7bn (USD35.6bn) at the end of our forecast period in 2019.
In order to meet these targets, the government intends to raise additional funds through the export of military equipment.

Table Of Contents

France Defence and Security Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Defence SWOT 10
Political 12
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 15
Defence Spending 15
Table: Defence Expenditure (France 2012-2019) 16
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (France 2012-2019) 17
Armed Forces 17
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (France 2005-2012) 18
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (France 2012-2019) 19
Defence Trade 19
Table: Defence Trade Balance (France 2012-2019) 20
Exports 20
Table: Defence Exports (France 2012-2019) 21
Imports 21
Table: Defence Imports (France 2012-2019) 22
Macroeconomic Forecasts 23
Economic Analysis 23
Table: GDP By Expenditure (France 2012-2019) 29
Industry Risk Reward Index 30
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 30
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 30
Rewards 31
Risks 32
Market Overview 33
Defence Market Overview 33
Table: France - Military Deployments 35
Domestic Defence Sector 36
Domestic Defence Market 38
International Partnerships And Defence Agreements 41
Table: France - Key Defence Agreements 41
Security Overview 42
Domestic Threats 43
Regional Threats 46
International Threats 46
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 49
Company Profile 52
Dassault Aviation 52
DCNS 54
Airbus Group 56
Thales 59
Regional Overview 62
Europe Security Overview - Q4 2015 62
Global Industry Overview 72
Political Risk Analysis 72
Methodology 77
Sector-Specific Methodology 78
Table: Defence Risk Reward Index Indicators 78
Weighting 79
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 79

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