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France Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

BMI View: Our outlook for the French infrastructure sector remains subdued in 2015 and 2016. A weak domestic economic environment and ongoing policy and regulatory uncertainty are undermining investor confidence and we expect to see limited gains in terms of fixed capital formation. Overall, we expect to see construction industry value contract in 2015 by 1.5%, before returning to minimal growth in 2016.

Key Trends And Developments

-Weaknesses in France's labour market - both in terms of unemployment and lack of competitiveness - support our negative outlook on the country's construction industry.

-The outlook for the housing market remains bleak, as economic uncertainty and stubborn unemployment rates prevent a recovery in the demand for housing. However, we have slightly reduced the y-o-y contraction forecast for 2015 this quarter and very slightly increased growth for the sector past 2015 on the back of a small recuperation in housing permit authorisations.

Table Of Contents

France Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (France 2014-2020) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (France 2015-2015) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2014-2024) 11
Structural Trends 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2014-2024) 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Key Projects: Transport 23
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 24
Latest Updates 24
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (France 2014-2024) 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 29
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 30
Latest Updates 30
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (France 2014-2024) 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 35
France - Industry Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 35
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 38
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 42
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 43
Table: France - Company Financial Data 44
Company Profile 45
Bouygues Group 45
EDF Group 48
VINCI Group 52
Table: VINCI 2014 Key Financial Results Table 54
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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