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China Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar termsEach report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risksThe reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure

Table Of Contents

China Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, December 2014 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2015 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economy 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Economic Analysis 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 20
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 20
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 20
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015 20
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 21
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 22
Economic Analysis 23
Table: Economic Activity (China 2010-2019) 26
Competitive Landscape 27
Market Structure 27
Protagonists 27
Table: Protagonists In China's Commercial Banking Sector 27
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 28
List Of Banks 28
Table: Policy Banks And The 'Big Four' State-Owned Commercial Banks 28
Table: Joint-Stock Commercial Banks, City Commercial Banks And Rural Commercial Banks 28
Table: Locally Registered Foreign Banks 29
Company Profile 30
Agricultural Development Bank of China 30
Table: Stock Market Indicators 32
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 32
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 32
Table: Key Ratios (%) 33
Bank of China 34
Table: Stock Market Indicators 36
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 37
China Construction Bank 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
China Merchants Bank 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Regional Overview 49
Asia Overview 49
Global Industry Overview 53
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 53
Regional Outlooks 53
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

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