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Chile Mining Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Chile’s mining sector value will continue to contract through 2017, on the back of subdued copper prices and elevated operating costs. Nonetheless, country will remain the top global copper producer by a wide margin over our forecast period to 2020.

Latest Updates & Structural Trends



- Chile’s mining industry value will continue a multi-year decline through 2017 on the back of subdued copper prices. We forecast the country’s mining industry value to contract by 1.6% in 2017, to USD20.6bn and edge higher thereafter, reaching USD23.5bn by 2020.

- Chile, the largest copper producer, will experience relatively flat growth over 2017 to 2020, as weak copper prices, operational disruptions and declining copper ore grades curb output. We forecast Chile’s annual copper production growth to average 1.5% over this period, increasing in volume from 5.5 million tonnes (mnt) in 2017 to 5.8mnt by 2020.

- Chile’s gold sector will experience muted production growth over our forecast period to 2020, due to tightening environmental regulations and elevated costs. Improving gold prices, which we now forecast to average USD1,300/oz in 2016 and USD1,400/oz in 2017, will be an upside risk to the country’s gold sector outlook.

Table Of Contents

Chile Mining Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Chile Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Copper: Slow Growth To Set In 10
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Chile 2014-2020) 10
Table: Chile - Key Copper Projects and Expansions 11
Structural Trends 11
Gold: Rising Prices To Provide Limited Upside 15
Table: Gold Production (Chile 2014-2020) 16
Table: Chile - Key Gold Projects 16
Lithium: Production Set To Soar 18
Table: Lithium Production Forecast (Chile 2012-2020) 19
Table: Chile - Key Lithium Projects 19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index - Chile - Q1 2017 23
Rewards 23
Industry Rewards 23
Country Rewards 23
Risks 23
Industry Risks 23
Country Risks 24
Latin America (Region)- Americas - Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2017 24
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Indices 28
Regulatory Development 29
Commodities Forecast 33
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 33
Competitive Landscape 35
Sectors 35
Table: Chile - Largest Listed Companies Financial Data, 2015 36
Company Profile 37
Antofagasta - Q1 2017 37
Table: Antofagasta - Key Financial Data 39
Codelco - Q1 2017 40
Table: Codelco - Key Financial Data 42
Anglo American 43
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 44
Table: Anglo American - Key Projects 48
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data 51
Regional Overview 52
Latin America (Region) - Americas Mining: The Four Key Themes 52
Table: Americas - Largest Projects By Capex 58
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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