BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms. Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks. The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
Table Of Contents
France Commercial Banking Report Q1 2017 BMI Industry View 7 Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7 Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7 Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8 Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8 SWOT 9 Commercial Banking 9 Political 10 Economic 11 Operational Risk 12 Industry Forecast 13 Table: Banking Sector Snapshot 16 Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18 Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18 Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19 Market Overview 20 Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 20 Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2015 20 Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 20 Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 21 Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 22 Economic Analysis 23 Competitive Landscape 26 Market Structure 26 Table: Protagonists In France's Commercial Banking Sector 26 Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 26 List Of Banks 27 Table: National Banks 27 Table: Regional Banks 27 Table: Thrift And Mortgage Banks 27 Company Profile 28 BNP Paribas 28 Table: Stock Market Indicators 31 Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 31 Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 31 Table: Key Ratios (%) 32 Credit Agricole 33 Table: Stock Market Indicators 35 Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 35 Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 36 Table: Key Ratios (%) 36 Credit Industriel et Commercial 37 Table: Stock Market Indicators 38 Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 39 Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39 Table: Key Ratios (%) 39 Groupe Caisse d'Epargne 40 Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 42 Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42 Table: Key Ratios (%) 42 Societe Generale 43 Table: Stock Market Indicators 45 Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn) 45 Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 45 Table: Key Ratios (%) 46 Regional Overview 47 Global Industry Overview 57 Global Commercial Banking Outlook 57 Regional Outlooks 59 Demographic Forecast 64 Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) 65 Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) 65 Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) 66 Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) 66 Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) 67 Methodology 69 Industry Forecast Methodology 69 Sector-Specific Methodology 70 Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71 Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 72 Table: Weighting Of Indicators 73