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Nigeria Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 94 pages

BMI View

: Nigeria's economy will continue to grow at a constrained rate due to the oil price collapse. Ourgrowth forecasts for Nigeria in 2015 and 2016 are 3.8% and 2.7% respectively. The long-term outlook isimpacted by the difficulties of implementing policies that facilitate a transition to a growth model that is notdriven by oil. Nigeria's reliance on imported consumer goods coupled with the devaluation of the naira willresult in high inflation in the short-term; we forecast it to end the year at 9.7%. This will weigh heavily onconsumption.

Headline Industry Forecasts

- Per capita food consumption (local currency) 2015 = 62,698; forecast compound annual growth rate(CAGR) - 2015 to 2019 = +7.05%

- Beer volume sales (mn litres) 2015 = 1,865; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 - +2.37%

- Mass grocery retail sales (NGN per capita) 2015 = 13637; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +38.75%

Table Of Contents

Nigeria Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink 8
Industry Forecast 11
Consumer Outlook 11
Food 13
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Nigeria 2012-2019) 14
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Nigeria 2012-2019) 15
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Nigeria 2014-2019) 15
Drink 16
Alcoholic Drinks 16
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Nigeria 2014-2019) 16
Soft Drinks 16
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Nigeria 2014-2019) 17
Mass Grocery Retail 18
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Nigeria 2014-2019) 19
Macroeconomic Forecast 20
Table: Economic Activity (Nigeria 2010-2019) 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 23
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Q415 Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 24
Nigeria Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 29
Food 29
Food Production 29
Agriculture 30
Drink 34
Beer 34
Soft Drinks 35
Mass Grocery Retail 37
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Nigeria 2006-2015) 38
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Nigeria 2006-2015) 38
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: Key Players In Nigeria's Food and Drink Sector 39
Table: Key Players In Nigeria's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 40
Company Profile 41
Nestle Nigeria 41
UAC Plc 46
Guinness Nigeria 49
Nigerian Breweries 54
Park 'n' Shop 58
Global Industry Overview 60
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 67
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 77
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 78
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 81
Demographic Forecast 83
Demographic Outlook 83
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nigeria 1990-2025) 84
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nigeria 1990-2025) 84
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Nigeria 1990-2025) 85
Table: Population By Age Group (Nigeria 1990-2025) 85
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nigeria 1990-2025) 86
Glossary 88
Food and Drink 88
Mass Grocery Retail 88
Methodology 90
Industry Forecast Methodology 90
Sector-Specific Methodology 91
Sources 91
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 92
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 93
Table: Weighting 94

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ref:plp2015

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