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  4. > Russia Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

Russia Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 78 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Russia Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, August 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2015 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 . . 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking . 9
Political . 10
Economic .. 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Table: Russia Banking Sector Risk Snapshot . . 18
Table: Breakdown Of Client Loans and Deposits, % Of Total . 20
Table: CBR-Defined Systemically Important Institutions . 21
Table: CBR Mandated LCR Implementation Schedule . 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 24
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index .. 24
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . 25
Market Overview 26
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook .. 26
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 . 26
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015 . 27
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 28
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 . . 29
Economic Outlook .. 30
Table: Russia - Private Consumption Forecasts . 34
Table: Russia - Government Consumption Forecasts . . 35
Table: Russia - Fixed Capital Formation Forecasts 35
Table: Russia - Net Exports Forecasts 36
Competitive Landscape . 37
Market Structure . 37
Protagonists 37
Table: Protagonists In Russia's Commercial Banking Sector 37
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe .. 37
List Of Banks .. 38
Table: Russia's 10 Largest Banks . . 38
Company Profile . 39
Alfa-Bank .. 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 41
Bank of Moscow .. 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 44
Gazprombank .. 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 46
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 47
Sberbank 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 51
VTB 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 54
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 54
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 55
Regional Overview 56
Emerging Europe Regional Overview . 56
Table: Europe - Banking Sector Client Loan Growth, % . . 60
Table: Europe - Banking Sector Loan-To-Deposit Ratio, % . 61
Global Industry Overview .. 63
Global Commercial Banking Outlook . 63
Regional Outlooks . 63
Demographic Forecast .. 69
Demographic Outlook 69
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) . 70
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) . . 70
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) . 71
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) . 72
Methodology . 74
Industry Forecast Methodology . 74
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 75
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 76
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 78

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