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Switzerland Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits.

Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Switzerland Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, July 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2015 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 21
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 21
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015 21
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 22
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 23
Economic Analysis 24
Table: Switzerland Real GDP Forecasts 28
Table: Switzerland Private Consumption Forecasts 29
Table: Switzerland Public Consumption Forecasts 29
Table: Switzerland Fixed Investment Forecasts 30
Table: Switzerland Net Export Forecasts 31
Competitive Landscape 32
Market Structure 32
Protagonists 32
Table: Protagonists In Switzerland's Commercial Banking Sector 32
Definition of the Commercial Banking Universe 33
List of Banks 33
Table: Major Swiss Banking Groups 33
Company Profile 34
BCV Group 34
Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn) 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 36
Table: Key Ratios (%) 36
Credit Suisse 37
Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
Luzerner Kantonalbank 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 42
Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 43
St Galler Kantonalbank 44
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
UBS 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
Global Industry Overview 52
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 52
Regional Outlooks 52
Demographic Forecast 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Switzerland 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Switzerland 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Switzerland 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Switzerland 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Switzerland 1990-2025) 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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