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China Power Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: This quarter, we have upwardly revised our gas-fired power generation forecasts to take intoaccount the gas pricing reform implemented by the government, which will see materially lower gas pricesfor the country's businesses and industrial users. In turn, this will serve to marginally reduce coal-firedgeneration in the power mix - in line with government efforts to curb coal use.

Key Trends And Developments

- In terms of fuel mix, conventional thermal sources play a key role and are expected to continue todominate electricity generation as many projects under construction or planned will use coal or gas, andas Chinese efforts in prospecting and exploiting conventional oil and gas resources are set to increase.While other sources of power will play increasingly important roles, China will remain reliant on coal forits power generation over the next decade.

-We believe China's push to reduce its carbon emissions profile continues unabated; highlighted in lateAugust by an agreement between the US Department of Energy (DOE) and China's National EnergyAdministration (NEA) to jointly develop 'clean coal' technologies for commercial use. The memorandumof understanding (MoU) will pave the way for both governments to collaborate on clean coaltechnologies such as carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) projects. Despite our belief thatclean coal technology, such as CCUS, remains a long way from being commercially viable, due to thehigh costs and the immaturity of the technology, it still sends a strong signal regarding China'scommitment to reducing pollution.

Table Of Contents

China Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 12
China Snapshot 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (China 2014-2019) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (China 2019-2024) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 12
China Power Forecast Scenario 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Thermal Generation And Thermal Generating Capacity 14
Nuclear Generation And Nuclear Generating Capacity 17
Hydropower Generation and Hydropower Generating Capacity 19
Renewables Generation And Renewables Generating Capacity 20
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 22
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 24
Electricity Consumption 24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 25
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 27
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
Power Risk/Reward Index 29
China Power Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 35
Market Overview 37
Key Policies And Market Structure 37
Regulation And Competition 37
Sustainable Energy Policies 39
Pricing 42
China Power Projects Database 44
Table: China - Top 10 Power Projects By Capacity 44
Competitive Landscape 46
Huaneng Power International 46
China Huaneng Group 47
China Datang Corporation 47
China Huadian Corporation 47
China Guodian Corporation 48
China Power Investment Corporation 48
China Southern Power Grid 49
State Grid Corporation 49
Company Profile 50
Huaneng Power International 50
Regional Overview 53
Asia Power Regional Overview 53
Glossary 59
Table: Glossary Of Terms 59
Methodology 60
Methodology And Sources 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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