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  4. > Colombia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Colombia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Colombia's agribusiness sector is being held back by a number of deep structural challenges - including the lingering consequences of internal armed conflict, structural inefficiencies, low competitiveness and poor policy choices. As a result, area cultivated and yields have stagnated over the past decade. But after several decades of disappointing growth in Colombia's agribusiness sector, the outlook for production and exports is brightening. The efforts made to resolve the conflict, coupled with the potential for upcoming agricultural reforms, have paved the way for the revival of Colombia's agribusiness. The coffee, fruits, sugar, palm oil and horticulture sectors offer the best opportunities. Colombian agriculture enjoys a large diversity thanks to abundant natural resources and diverse climates and topography. Although FTAs may undermine the livestock and dairy sectors, they also provide Colombia with large export markets. The US and EU, which are the main markets for Colombian agricultural products, will see their imports grow in the coming years with the decrease in tariffs.


Key Forecasts
- Corn consumption growth to 2019: 18.2% to 6.7mn tonnes. Corn consumption will expand at a faster pace than production over the medium term, boosted by growth in the livestock sector, especially the
poultry segment. The domestic corn deficit will reach 4.7mn tonnes by 2018/19, compared with 3.9mn tonnes in 2013/14.
- Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 25.0% to 1.7mn tonnes. Poultry will record the strongest growth within the livestock sector over the coming five years, supported by growing domestic demand
for meat products at affordable prices.

Table Of Contents

Colombia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT . 10
Agribusiness . 10
Industry Forecast .. 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Colombia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook . 12
Table: Colombia - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Colombia - Select Grains Production and Consumption, 2014-2019 . 16
Sugar Outlook .. 17
Table: Colombia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook . . 17
Table: Colombia - Risks To Sugar Outlook . 18
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Colombia 2011-2019) . 20
Coffee Outlook . 21
Table: Colombia - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook . 22
Table: Colombia - Risks To Coffee Outlook 22
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Colombia 2011-2019) 26
Cocoa Outlook . 27
Table: Colombia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook . 27
Table: Colombia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook 27
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Colombia 2011-2019) 29
Dairy Outlook .. 30
Table: Colombia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook . . 30
Table: Colombia - Risks To Dairy Outlook . 31
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Colombia 2011-2019) . 34
Livestock Outlook 35
Table: Colombia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook . 35
Table: Colombia - Risks To Livestock Outlook 36
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Colombia 2014-2019) 38
Commodities Price Analysis 39
Global Commodities Strategy 39
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts . 39
Featured Analysis .. 41
Promising Potential Should Reforms Be Implemented . 41
Table: Latin America - Country Risk And Operational Risks Indices, 2014 42
Table: Production Balance, Colombia (2010-2019) 47
Upstream Analysis 48
Americas Machinery Outlook 48
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . 51
Americas GM Outlook 55
Americas Fertiliser Outlook .. 62
Downstream Analysis . 67
Food .. 67
Food Consumption 67
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2012-2019) . . 69
Confectionery . 69
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2012-2019) . 70
Jams and Jellies 72
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Colombia 2014-2019) 72
Pasta 72
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) . . 72
Dairy 72
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) . . 73
Meat . 74
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Colombia 2014-2019) . 74
Fish .. 74
Regional Overview 75
Competitive Landscape . 81
Table: Key Agribusiness Players . . 81
Demographic Forecast .. 82
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025) . 83
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025) . 83
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025) . 84
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025) . 85
Methodology . 87
Industry Forecast Methodology . 87
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 88

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