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Czech Republic Power Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

BMI View: This quarter our view on the Czech power market remains largely unchanged, while concerns over the country's energy security and carbon emissions profile move to the forefront. The future of nuclear and renewables in the country looks increasingly uncertain as the development of sources experienced setbacks and questions about Czech energy security and its emissions profile are becoming more pronounced. With ageing domestic capacity scheduled to come offline over the coming two decades and EU regulations pressuring the country to lessen its dependence on coal, nuclear and renewables had appeared to be the preferred method to fill any future power gap. However, this is now in doubt, with the country showing inclinations to maintain an important share of coal-generated electricity in the mix. We further believe that the Czech Republic's export status could be in jeopardy as a result of a failure to build new power generation capacity.

Key Trends And Developments

-Allowing for system losses, power supply should continue to outweigh demand, enabling continued net exports to neighbouring states. This quarter, we expect Czech power generation to reach 83.30TWh in 2015 and expect it will decrease between 2015 and 2024, to reach 77.5TWh.

-Czech Coal, ?EZ and a partnership between EPH, and the PPF investment company are the three bidders that have expressed their interest in acquiring Vattenfall's German lignite and hydro activities. Vattenfall is divesting its German mining and generations assets as part of its strategy to transform its energy portfolio strategy shift.

Table Of Contents

Czech Republic Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Czech Republic Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2020-2024) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Czech Republic Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Thermal Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Nuclear Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Renewables Generation And Power Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 17
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 19
Electricity Consumption 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 20
Transmission and Distribution, Imports And Exports 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
CEE Power Risk Reward Index 23
Czech Republic Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Risks 29
Market Overview 31
Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Regulation And Competition 31
Sustainable Energy Policies 32
Pricing 34
Table: Half-yearly Electricity And Gas Prices, H2, 2012-2014 (EUR per kWh) 35
Czech Republic Power Projects Database 36
Table: Czech Republic - Top Power Projects By Capacity 36
Competitive Landscape 37
CEZ 37
CEPS 38
PRE 38
EON 38
Company Profile 39
?EZ 39
Table: CEZ's Strategic Programmes 40
Regional Overview 43
CEE Power Regional Overview 43
Glossary 51
Table: Glossary Of Terms 51
Methodology 52
Methodology And Sources 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 55
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 57

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