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Germany Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

BMI View: We have made minor upwards revisions for the German agricultural sector in our Q116 update.We hold a general positive outlook for the industry. We believe the German agricultural system benefitsfrom high levels of competitiveness, strong infrastructure and a very good farming knowhow. Grains, dairyand sugar will all stand to benefit this year and beyond. In the livestock sector, pork producers will beunder pressure due to strained relations with Russia. Sugar and milk production will expand due to theremoval of quotas in the years to come.

Key Forecasts

- Corn consumption will grow by a healthy 5.5% in 2016 to reach 1.11mn tonnes.

- Poultry production will grow by 2.2% in 2015/16 to reach 1.6mn tonnes.

- We are estimating wheat production to grow by 6.0% in 2015/16 to reach 26.4mn tonnes, whereas sugarwill grow by 5.0% to reach 27.5mn tonnes.

Table Of Contents

Germany Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Sugar Outlook 10
Table: Germany - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks to Outlook 11
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Germany Historical Data and Forecasts) 14
Grains Outlook 14
Table: Germany - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks to Outlook 15
Table: Grain Production and Consumption (Germany Historical Data and Forecasts) 19
Dairy Outlook 19
Table: Germany - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 20
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Germany 2013-2019) 22
Livestock Outlook 23
Table: Germany - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Risks to Outlook 25
Table: CAP Payments 29
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Germany 2013-2019) 29
Commodities Price Analysis 30
Global Commodities Strategy 30
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 30
Upstream Analysis 32
Europe Machinery Outlook 32
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 35
Europe GM Outlook 38
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 44
Downstream Analysis 50
Food 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends 50
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 51
Confectionery 51
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 53
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables 54
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 55
Snack Foods 55
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 56
Pasta 56
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 57
Dairy 57
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 58
Meat 60
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Germany 2012-2019) 61
Fish 62
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Germany 2012-2019) 62
Oils and Fats 63
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Germany 2012-2019) 64
Regional Overview 66
Competitive Landscape 72
Table: Germany - Key Agribusiness Players 72
Demographic Forecast 73
Demographic Outlook 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025) 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025) 76
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Sector-Specific Methodology 79

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