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Indonesia Power Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 54 pages

BMI View: The power sector in Indonesia is one of the fastest-growing in the Asia Pacific region. The government has committed to ambitious expansion plans and a huge volume of projects are in the pipeline, encompassing coal and gas fired thermal power plants alongside a large number of hydropower and nonhydropower renewable projects. The country is attracting considerable amounts of foreign investment and opportunities abound for a range of related industries, though we do note that some barriers to entry remain and corruption is an ongoing risk. Historically, projects have been subject to extensive delays, and while we do not expect government targets to be achieved within the stated timeframe, we do expect to see significant gains in terms of total capacity and generation over our forecast period to 2024.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-Coal fired power remains a popular option: Aneka Tambang (Antam) recently announced plans to invest IDR1.8trn (USD132.4mn) in a coal-fired power plant in East Halmahera, North Maluku Province which will reportedly have capacity of about 80MW and will support operations of Antam's under-construction ferronickel smelter. Construction of the plant is expected to start in 2016 and Antam also plans to build another 80MW power plant, prior to construction of the second stage of the smelter.

-In another coal orientated project, Adaro Energy is finalising deals worth about USD4.55bn in 2015 for two 100MW coal-fired power plants in South Kalimantan and the 2,000MW Batang power project in Central Java.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Indonesia Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2013-2018) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2019-2024) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Indonesia Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 15
Non Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 16
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity Forecasts 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 21
Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 22
Transmission and Distribution 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 24
Industry Risk/Reward Index 25
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index 25
Indonesia Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 31
Market Overview 32
Key Policies And Market Structure 32
Regulation And Competition 32
Sustainable Energy Policies 33
Pricing 34
Indonesia Power Projects Database 35
Table: Indonesia - Top 10 Projects By Capacity 37
Competitive Landscape 39
Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) 40
Central Java Power 40
Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) 41
Regional Overview 42
Asia Power Regional Overview 42
Glossary 48
Table: Glossary Of Terms 48
Methodology 49
Methodology And Sources 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Sources 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54

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