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Iran Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Gas production and consumption will continue to grow in 2017 due to new phases of South Pars increasing gas availability. Oil production and exports will increase around 200,000b/d in 2017, roughly reaching pre-sanctions levels. Refined fuels exports will rise following the start up of the first phase of the Persian Gulf Star refinery.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts


- NIOC signed the first 'new format' oil deal (not IPC) with domestic company Persia Oil & Gas. USD2.2bn is expected to be invested in to develop the Yaran field and increase recovery from the Maroun and Koupal fields.

- The status and terms of the IPC are still yet to be published, though Iranian officials remain positive on contracts being signed by the end of 2016.

- NIOC is reportedly in talks with 16 international companies regarding tenders for new oil and gas projects under the IPC.

Table Of Contents

Iran Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Iran 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
OIl and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Upstream Projects 13
Table: New Projects Expected To Be Offered Post-Sanctions 13
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: New Oil Projects On Offer 19
Table: Oil Production (Iran 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Iran 2020-2025) 20
Upstream Production - Gas 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: South Pars Project Phases 23
Table: Gas Projects Proposed Under The IPC 23
Table: Gas Production (Iran 2014-2019) 24
Table: Gas Production (Iran 2020-2025) 25
Refining 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Major Iranian Refineries 27
Table: Modernisation Projects 30
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Iran 2014-2019) 30
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Iran 2020-2025) 30
Refined Fuels Consumption 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Approximate Gasoline and Diesel Costs 33
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Iran 2014-2019) 34
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Iran 2020-2025) 34
Gas Consumption 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 35
Table: Gas Consumption (Iran 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Consumption (Iran 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Oil 37
Crude Trade Forecasts 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Iran 2014-2020) 39
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Iran 2020-2025) 40
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 40
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Iran 2014-2019) 42
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Iran 2020-2025) 42
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 42
Latest Updates 42
Structural Trends 42
Table: Gas Net Exports (Iran 2014-2019) 45
Table: Gas Net Exports (Iran 2020-2025) 47
Industry Risk/Reward Index 48
Middle East - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 48
Table: Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 48
Upstream: Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 49
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 49
Downstream: Limited Opportunities 51
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 51
Iran - Risk/Reward Index 54
Upstream Index 54
Downstream Index 54
Market Overview 56
Iran Energy Market Overview 56
Overview 56
Table: Key Upstream Operators - Iran Oil and Gas Sector 56
Table: Key Downstream Operators - Iran Energy Sector 56
Fiscal Regime 57
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 58
Oil Refineries 58
Table: Refineries In Iran 58
Service Stations 59
Oil Storage Facilities 59
Oil Terminals/Ports 60
Oil Pipelines 60
Gas Pipelines 61
Table: Major Proposed Pipelines 61
Gas Storage Facilities 62
Table: Operation, Under Construction and Planned Gas Storage 62
Competitive Landscape 63
Company Profile 64
NIOC 64
Table: Major NIOC Subsidiaries 65
Table: Fields Proposed Under The New IPC 66
Regional Overview 68
Middle East Oil and Gas Regional Overview 68
Oil Production: Liquids Output Heading Higher 68
Oil Consumption: Gas And Subsidy Reform Tempering Demand 71
Table: Average Gasoline Pump Price June 2015 and September 2016 (USD/Litre) 71
Refining Capacity: Mega Refineries To Outcompete 73
Gas Production: Momentum Behind Gas Accelerates 74
Gas Consumption: Industrial Growth And Power Stretch Consumption 76
Table: Middle East Oil and Gas Production, Refining Capacity and Trade 77
Glossary 78
Table: Glossary Of Terms 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Source 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 84
Table: Weighting 85

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