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Australia Real Estate Report 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


>BMI View:
Commercial real estate in Australia has weathered external headwinds from a slowdown in China, global economic uncertainty and a fall commodities prices. This can be attributed to the influx of foreign investment into prime assets that has kept prices buoyant and rental rates comparatively high. However, the surge of acquisitions from foreign investors has led to falling capitalisation rates, primarily influenced by a lack of supply. The current investment climate presents opportunities over 2017, with particular prospects for property managers.

Australia has recently reached a milestone of 25 years without recession, an impressive achievement during a period of global economic uncertainty and falling demand. The successful services sector has kept the Australian economy resilient, while the recent slump in commodities prices and falling demand from China have seen the primary sector come under pressure, seeing demand drop for industrial real estate as a result. High levels of foreign direct investment flows into prime office and retail real estate are expected to continue as foreign institutions seek favourable returns from a budding market - while Western nations suffer from structural issues such as economic turbulence in the eurozone and political uncertainty in the US, investment focus has shifted further towards the more stable Australian economy. Commercial real estate development focus will continue to revolve around established business centres such as Sydney and Melbourne, with luxury retail and office units comprising the majority of demand.

As the construction pipeline is controlled and regulated heavily, new developments will be limited over the coming 12 months, seeing little activity in the Brisbane market as a result. The predominantly industrial market in Perth looks to come under pressure from falling oil prices, which affects exports considerably, and will hence see a fall in demand for industrial real estate units.

Table Of Contents

Australia Real Estate Report 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Office Forecast 15
Table: Office Rental Rates 18
Table: Office Yields (%) 19
Retail Forecast 21
Table: Retail Rents 24
Table: Retail Yields (%) 25
Industrial Forecast 27
Table: Industrial Rental Rates 30
Table: Industrial Yields (%) 32
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Latest Updates 33
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Australia 2015-2025) 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Construction and Social Infrastructure Projects 36
Macroeconomic Forecasts 37
Economic Analysis 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 42
Australia - Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: Asia Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 42
Rewards 42
Risks 43
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape 46
Demographic Forecast 50
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025) 51
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025) 51
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025) 53
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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