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Canada Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 103 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While 2015 marks the nadir of Canada's oil-related economic slowdown, we project a lowaverage growth trajectory over the coming years This is because despite early indications that a weakerexchange rate and stronger US demand are driving up vehicle and consumer goods exports, there are nosigns of higher fixed investment into Canada's non-commodities sector thus far We forecast average annualreal GDP growth of 17% between 2015 and 2019, in contrast to an average growth rate of 25% in thepreceding five years The food market is set to be an underperformer in Canada over our forecast period,with stronger growth in drinks and mass grocery retail

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency)

- 2015 per capita food consumption growth = +11% year-on-year (y-o-y); forecast compound annualgrowth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019 = +14%;
- 2015 alcoholic drink value sales growth = +22% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +36%;
- 2015 soft drink value sales growth = +33% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +38%;
- 2015 mass grocery retail sales growth = +27% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +30%

Table Of Contents

Canada Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food And Drink 8
Industry Forecast 11
Consumer Outlook 11
Latest Forecasts 11
Structural Trends 11
Food 13
Latest Forecasts 13
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019) 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019) 15
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 17
Drink 18
Latest Forecasts 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 19
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Canada 2014-2019) 21
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 21
Mass Grocery Retail 22
Latest Forecasts 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 23
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, % 23
Macroeconomic Forecasts 24
Economic Analysis 24
Market Overview 31
Food 31
Food Consumption 31
Food Processing 31
Confectionery 32
Dairy 33
Drink 35
Alcoholic Drinks 35
Soft Drinks 36
Hot Drinks 37
Mass Grocery Retail 38
Leading Players 38
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Canada 2006-2010) 39
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Canada 2006-2015) 40
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Canada 2006-2015) 40
Competitive Landscape 41
Table: Key Players In Canada's Food Sector 41
Table: Key Players In Canada's Drinks Sector 42
Table: Key Players In Canada's Mass Grocery Retail Industry 43
Company Profile 44
Saputo 44
George Weston Ltd 47
Maple Leaf Foods 50
Corby Spirit And Wine Ltd 53
Cott Corp 55
Loblaw Companies Ltd 58
Metro Inc 61
Sobeys 64
Walmart 67
Global Industry Overview 70
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 77
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 86
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 87
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 90
Demographic Forecast 92
Demographic Outlook 92
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025) 93
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025) 93
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025) 94
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025) 94
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025) 95
Glossary 97
Food and Drink 97
Mass Grocery Retail 97
Methodology 99
Industry Forecast Methodology 99
Sector-Specific Methodology 100
Sources 100
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 101
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 102
Table: Weighting 103

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