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  4. > Romania Power Report Q1 2016

Romania Power Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: This quarter we have downgraded our power forecasts for Romania to reflect our view that thecompletion of the country's flagship Cernavoda 3 and 4 reactors is unlikely before the end of our forecastperiod in 2024. Overall, the decision to exclude the Cernavoda reactors from our forecast has had asignificant impact on our outlook for the Romanian power sector and means we expect the country toremain more reliant on coal and gas than previously anticipated. We forecast electricity generation willremain relatively flat - registering annual average growth of 0.9% between 2015 and 2024. Coal willremain the biggest component of the power mix, but gas will gain share as coal capacity is take offline tocomply with tightening EU emissions targets, and Romania boosts domestic gas production from the BlackSea towards the end of our forecast period.Latest Updates And Structural Trends-A new government strategy for 2015-2025 highlights the increasingly decrepit state of much ofRomania's electricity infrastructure. According to the report, many of the country's electric energyproduction capacities have gone beyond the technical life and are becoming wasteful and polluting.According to the government, the Oltenia and Hunedoara complex energy units are now on the brink ofbankruptcy.-In January 2015, new regulations came into force which allow only energy traders who possess a licenseissued by Romania's energy regulation agency ANRE to import or export electricity. Under the newrules, energy suppliers can sell energy only to the final customers, while the traders can buy and sellenergy on the central market or for export or import. The new law also prohibits energy producers toimport or export energy.

Table Of Contents

Romania Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Romania 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Romania Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2019-2024) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Romania Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018) 15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024) 18
Electricity Consumption 18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018) 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024) 20
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 20
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018) 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024) 21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018) 21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024) 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 23
CEE Power RRI 23
Romania Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Risks 29
Market Overview 31
Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Regulation And Competition 31
Sustainable Energy Policies 31
Pricing 32
Romania Power Projects Database 33
Table: Romania Major Projects - Power 33
Competitive Landscape 35
Transelectrica 35
Electrica 35
Termoelectrica 35
Hidroelectica 36
EON 36
Enel 36
Company Profile 38
Hidroelectrica 38
Regional Overview 41
CEE Power Regional Overview 41
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 50
Methodology And Sources 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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