Romania Telecommunications Report Q1 2015

  • December 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 110 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View :

Despite having one of the lowest mobile market penetrations in the region, Romanian market sustained significant losses in 2014. BMI believes this to be a result of cautionary consumer habits during a period of economic weakness as well as discounting inactive subscribers. However, as GDP per capita will rebound as of 2015, Romanian telecommunications sector will recover in lock-step. The medium-term outlook is mixed in Romania, with continued price competition and economic challenges posing downside rise. However, rising smartphone penetration offers upside via the development of mobile data and valueadded services such as mobile payment services. In the wireline sector we should see competition increase between pay-TV operators.

Key Data

- According to the latest data available Romanian mobile market contracted to 26.795mn end of Q314, bringing the total subscriber losses over the first nine months of 2014 to 849,000The April 2014 cuts to mobile termination rates resulted in a faster rate of decline in operator reported ARPU in Q214, resulting in a minor downgrade to our forecast.

Table Of Contents

Romania Telecommunications Report Q1 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
SWOT 11
Political 13
Economic 14
Business Environment 15
Industry Forecast 16
Mobile 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2011-2018) 16
ARPU 17
Wireline 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2011-2018) 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q115 27
Market Overview 29
Mobile 29
Regional Perspective 29
Table: Romania Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2013 30
Key Developments 30
Market Growth 31
Market Shares 33
Table: Net Additions ('000), Q312-Q314 35
Subscription Mix 35
Usage (ARPU/MOU) 37
Networks 38
Table: Mobile Contract Wins 41
Mobile Content/Value Added Services 42
Table: Total Market Romania 45
Table: Orange 45
Table: Vodafone 46
Table: Cosmote 47
Central And Eastern Europe Mobile Content 48
Wireline 52
Key Developments 52
Fixed-Line 52
Broadband 55
Table: Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000), 2010-2013 56
Table: Wireline Developments 2011-2013 61
Table: Romtelecom 62
Table: UPC Romania 63
Industry Trends And Developments 64
Regulatory Development 67
Regulatory Overview 67
Table: Regulatory Body Responsibilities 67
Regulatory Development 69
Competitive Landscape 74
Table: Key Players in the Romanian Telecoms Markets 74
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2008-2013, (USDmn) 74
Company Profile 75
Romtelecom 75
Cosmote Romania 80
Vodafone Romania 84
Orange Romania 89
Regional Overview 93
Demographic Forecast 99
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 100
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) 100
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) 102
Glossary 104
Table: Glossary Of Terms 104
Methodology 106
Industry Forecast Methodology 106
Sources 108
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 108
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 109
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 110

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