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Zimbabwe Food and Drink Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

BMI View: Zimbabwe's food and drink industry will continue to decline due to soft domestic demand, food shortages and a booming informal food and drink sector. We do not expect to see a recovery in Zimbabwe's food and drink industry over our forecast period as the country continues to navigate a tough economic climate. We forecast Zimbabwe's real GDP to grow at 1.1% in 2016, barely recovering from the recession the country entered in 2015. Despite downward pressure on prices, the mass grocery retail sector is set to grow at a subdued rate, driven by aggressive price competition in the sector and the entrance of new players.

Headline Industry Data (USD)

-Headline food consumption growth (USD) 2016 (y-o-y): -9.0%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) -16.7%.

-Headline food consumption per capita growth (USD) 2016 (y-o-y): -11.5%; CAGR -18.4%. - Total mass grocery retail sales growth 2016 (y-o-y): +4.0%; CAGR: +4.0%.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Food and Drink Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink 8
Industry Forecast 11
Consumer Outlook 11
Food 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2019) 14
Drink 14
Latest Updates 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 15
Mass Grocery Retail 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts 18
Economic Analysis 18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Q415 Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 24
Market Overview 27
Food 27
Food Production 27
Dairy 27
Drink 28
Alcoholic Drinks 28
Soft Drinks 29
Mass Grocery Retail 29
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Zimbabwe 2006-2015) 30
Competitive Landscape 31
Key Players 31
Table: Key Players in Zimbabwe's Food and Drink Sector 31
Table: Table: Key Players in Zimbabwe's Mass Grocery Retail Industry 31
Company Profile 32
Dairibord 32
Cairns Foods 34
Delta Beverages 36
Meikles 39
OK Zimbabwe 41
Global Industry Overview 43
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 50
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 59
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 60
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 63
Demographic Forecast 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 68
Glossary 70
Food and Drink 70
Mass Grocery Retail 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73
Sources 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting 76

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