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Ukraine Power Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The immediate outlook for electricity generation in Ukraine is poor with the country in anofficial state of energy emergency Despite a ceasefire agreement earlier in September 2015, reports at thetime of writing indicate that fighting in eastern Ukraine has continued That said, we expect powergeneration to stabilise in 2016 as conditions improve marginally, and see total generation returning tonear-2014 levelsLonger term, production and consumption will rise as the economy starts to recover and processes ofintegration with the EU bring about a partial liberalization of the power sector and investment from abroadThis will create opportunities for investment in Ukraine's power sector However, multiple barriers stand inthe way of developing the sector, including corruption, vested interests and the fractious politicalenvironment, that electricity production will fall far short of Ukraine's potential

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Ukraine 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Ukraine Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Ukraine 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Ukraine 2019-2024) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Ukraine Power Forecast Scenario 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2018) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2019-2024) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2018) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2019-2024) 19
Electricity Consumption 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2018) 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2019-2024) 20
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2018) 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2019-2024) 21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2018) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2019-2024) 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
CEE Power Risk Reward Index 24
Ukraine Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Market Overview 32
Key Policies And Market Structure 32
Ukraine - Ukraine Power Projects Database 34
Table: Ukraine - Largest Projects By Capacity 35
Competitive Landscape 36
Ukrenergo 37
AES 37
Regional Overview 38
CEE Power Regional Overview 38
Glossary 46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology 47
Methodology And Sources 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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