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Japan Petrochemicals Report 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Japanese ethylene production will never return to pre-recession levels due to a series of cracker closures and more likely over the next five years. However, this does not mean Japan's petrochemicals industry is dying - it is instead continuing its process of reform with shutdowns necessary to restructure the industry and it will need to reduce ethylene capacity by 1.7mn tonnes per annum (tpa) in order to address the looming national olefins surplus.

Petrochemicals crackers depend on naphtha for over 90% of their feedstock. With naphtha declining in cost since mid-2014, the industry has improved its competitiveness. The situation has been boosted further by
the weaker yen, which improved sales on the local market even as the regional market was becoming more challenging. Nevertheless, plant closures have continued and more are likely in the years ahead as producers
seek to focus more on adding value and improving margins, while reducing exposure to an over-supplied Asian market.

Table Of Contents

Japan Petrochemicals Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast . 9
Table: Japan: Planned Cracker Turn-Arounds 13
Table: Japan's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) . 15
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 17
Economic Analysis .. 17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index . 21
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking . 24
Japan Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings .. 25
Market Overview 26
Industry Trends And Developments .. 29
Upstream . 32
Financial Results And Corporate Strategy .. 34
Table: Japan's Petrochemicals Producers Results, JPYbn . . 34
Company Profile . 36
Asahi Kasei Corporation 36
Table: Asahi Kasei Financial Results (JPYmn) . . 38
Mitsubishi Chemical .. 39
Table: Mitsubishi Chemical financial results (JPYmn) . 41
Table: Petrochemicals Capacity (000 tpa) . 41
Mitsui Chemicals . 44
Table: Mitsui Chemicals Financial Results (JPYmn) 45
Sumitomo Chemical Group 47
Table: Sumitomo Chemical financial results (JPYmn) . 49
Tosoh Corporation .. 50
Table: Tosoh financial results (JPYmn) . 51
Regional Overview 52
Asia Overview .. 52
Chinese Crackers Spark Concern as Crisis Blazes . 53
A Rocky Surge in 2016 . 55
Global Industry Overview .. 58
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 58
2016 Feedstock Outlook .. 60
Could US Gas Run out? .. 61
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn . 62
Long-term Outlook 62
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 66
Demographic Forecast .. 67
Demographic Outlook 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025) . . 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025) . . 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025) . 69
Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025) . . 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025) . . 70
Glossary .. 72
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . 72
Methodology . 73
Industry Forecast Methodology . 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 77

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