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Japan Metals Report 2015

  • August 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 49 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Weak economic growth will lead Japan's metals industry to see minimal growth to 2019. The
country's construction and infrastructure industries will see declining growth by late-2015 after recent expansion, while automotive production will be modest over the coming years. Yet a weaker yen is likely to encourage exports, supporting stable production levels.

Japanese refined metal production and consumption will see minimal growth in the coming years on account of weakening economic fundamentals. Our outlook for Japanese economic growth remains below consensus, as we currently forecast real GDP growth of just 0.9% in 2015. However, recent monetary loosening may boost construction in the shorter term through subdued interest rates, and a weakeryen should support metal exports.

Table Of Contents

Japan Metals Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Metals SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Steel: Headwinds Remain, Yet Sector To Remain Global Leader 10
Japanese Steelmakers To Remain Global Leaders 13
Table: Steel Production and Consumption (Japan 2011-2019) 14
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Japan 2006-2013) 14
Aluminium: Modest Tailwinds Though Growth To Remain Subdued 16
Recent Construction Growth To Fade 17
Table: Aluminium Production and Consumption (Japan 2011-2019) 19
Copper: Production Growth To Outpace Consumption 19
Consumption Growth To Decline 20
Exports To Grow 21
Table: Refined Copper Production, Consumption and Balance (Japan 2011-2019) 22
Regulatory Development 23
Foreign Investors Face Roadblocks 23
Corruption Generally Minimal 23
Table: Japan - Political Outlook 24
Commodities Forecast 26
Steel: Oversupply To Subdue Prices Until 2017 26
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast 26
Market Balance: Surplus To Persist Until 2017 29
Table: Steel Forecasts (2015-2019) 34
Industrial Metals: Remaining Below-Consensus 35
Chinese Demand To Remain Weak Despite Stimulus 36
Tightening Market Balance To Support Price Recovery 37
Competitive Landscape 39
Country To Remain Global Leader In Steel 39
Table: Japan - Largest Listed Metal Companies 39
Company Profile 41
Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal 41
Table: Nippon Steel - Top Customers 43
Table: Nippon Steel - Key Financial Data 43
JFE Holdings 45
Table: JFE Holdings - Supply Chain Analysis 47
Table: JFE Holdings - Financial Data 48
Methodology 49
Cross Checks 49

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