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Poland Real Estate Report 2015

  • August 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Polish economy witnessed 1.0% GDP growth in Q115, a development from 0.8% in the
previous quarter, and maintaining its reliable steady growth trend. We attribute the growth to increased private consumption and fixed investment, dynamics that have direct influence on growth in the commercial real estate industry as well.

Within Europe, Poland is considered a particular player due to the relatively high and stable GDP growth trend it has witnessed. Since the Polish accession to the EU in 2004, the economy has grown 4.0% on average annually, up to 2014, while the EU averaged 1.1% over the same period. There was also relatively low fluctuations observed in the GDP growth rate when compared with other EU states, for example; the Polish economy recorded positive growth in 2009, a period that constituted the limit of the EU recession.
The primary driver behind the resilient figures can be accredited to the successful monetary policy undertaken by the banking system, aiding continued growth in the private sector and maintaining healthy consumer spending.

These impressive statistics have effectively influenced the commercial real estate sector, with an influx of corporates seeking to establish in the region, looking to benefit from the highly attractive properties on offer. The key economic drivers comprise of the growing tertiary sector, highly
skilled and cost effective labour, liberal policies on foreign establishments and rising consumer spending, aspects we expect to remain primary contributors over the forecast period and spur commercial real estate activity amongst domestic and foreign corporations.

Table Of Contents

Poland Real Estate Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Office Industry Forecast 14
Table: Office Rental Rates 17
Table: Office Yields 18
Retail Industry Forecast 19
Table: Retail Rental Rates 22
Table: Retail Yields 23
Industrial Industry Forecast 24
Table: Industrial Rental Rates 27
Table: Industrial Yields 28
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview 29
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2013-2018) 29
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2019-2024) 29
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure and Construction 32
Macroeconomic Forecasts 34
Economic Analysis 34
Real GDP By Expenditure Components 34
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019) 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Poland - Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Property Developers 42
Property Managers 44
Demographic Forecast 46
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 47
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 47
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 48
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 48
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 49
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sources 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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