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Poland Real Estate Report 2016

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Buoyed by a steady and robust economy, the medium-term outlook for Poland's real estate sector is bright. Strong growth in service sector output should drive demand for office space. The retail real estate sector should benefit from the impact of higher purchasing power and consumer spending which will increase retailers' requirements for space, while the industrial market is likely to be positively impacted by the increase in trade as well as on-line retailing and e-commerce, which will help to increase demand for storage space and ensure market dynamism.
The Polish economy is expected to see strong steady growth over the next five years. GDP is forecast to pick-up next year to 4.0% and to average at 4.2% per annum over the period 2017-19. An affluent
population, rising private consumption and a strong manufacturing and external sector will ensure all three markets in the real estate sector will benefit.

Table Of Contents

Poland Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political . 10
Economic .. 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Office Industry Forecast 14
Table: Office Rental Rates 2010-2015 18
Table: Office Yields 2010-2019 . 19
Retail Industry Forecast . 20
Table: Retail Rental Rates 2010-2015 23
Table: Retail Yields 2010-2019 . 25
Industrial Industry Forecast . 26
Table: Industrial Rental Rates 2010-2015 29
Table: Industrial Yields 2010-2019 . 30
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview . 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2013-2018) 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2019-2024) 32
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure and Construction . 36
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 38
Economic Analysis .. 38
Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown . 39
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019) 41
Industry Risk/Reward Index 42
Poland - Risk/Reward Index . 42
Table: Table: CEE Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 42
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape . 46
Property Developers . 46
Property Managers .. 48
Demographic Forecast .. 52
Demographic Outlook 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) . 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 55
Methodology . 57
Industry Forecast Methodology . 57
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 61

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