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Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 92 pages

BMI View

: Lower oil prices continue to support increased consumption of refined fuels and natural gas inTurkey. However, the country's longer term oil production outlook remains weak with mature assets andexploration cutbacks.The main trends and developments we highlight for Turkey's oil and gas sector are:

- We do not expect the outcome of the Turkish general election on November 1 to have a significantimpact on the country's oil and gas sector.

- In September, Gazprom declined an additional 3bcm of gas supply to Turkey through the Blue Streampipeline, according to CEO Alexei Miller. However, Miller added that at least 2bcm could be deliveredthrough the planned Turkish Stream pipeline.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Upstream Projects 13
Table: Turkey Major Upstream Projects 13
Upstream Production - Oil 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Oil Production (Turkey 2013-2018) 15
Table: Oil Production (Turkey 2019-2024) 15
Upstream Production - Gas 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Gas Production (Turkey 2013-2018) 17
Table: Gas Production (Turkey 2019-2024) 17
Refining 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Turkey 2013-2018) 19
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Turkey 2019-2024) 20
Refined Fuels Consumption 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Turkey 2013-2018) 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Turkey 2019-2024) 22
Gas Consumption 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Gas Consumption (Turkey 2013-2018) 24
Table: Gas Consumption (Turkey 2019-2024) 25
Trade - Oil 25
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Turkey 2013-2019) 26
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Turkey 2019-2024) 27
Fuels Trade Forecast 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Turkey 2013-2018) 28
Table: Refined Products Net Exports 29
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Net Exports (Turkey 2013-2018) 33
Table: Gas Net Exports (Turkey 2019-2024) 33
Industry Risk Reward Index 34
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward 34
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index 35
Upstream: China Still The Target Market 35
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index 38
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market 38
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index 40
Turkey - Risk/Reward Index 41
Turkey Upstream Index 41
Turkey Downstream Index 42
Market Overview 43
Turkey Energy Market Overview 43
Regulatory Structure 43
Fiscal Regime 44
Table: Turkey - Upstream Tax Regime 44
Licensing Regime 44
Table: Turkey - Contracts and Licensing Regime 44
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 45
Oil Refineries 45
Table: Oil Refineries In Turkey 45
Service Stations 46
Oil Terminals/Ports 46
Oil Pipelines 46
LNG Terminals 47
Table: LNG Terminals In Turkey 47
Gas Pipelines 47
Gas Storage 49
Competitive Landscape 50
Competitive Landscape Summary 50
Table: Key Players In Turkey's Oil and Gas Sector 51
Table: Key Upstream Players 52
Company Profile 53
Türkiye Petrolleri Anonim Ortakligi (TPAO) 53
Turkish Petroleum Refineries Corporation (Tüpras) 57
OMV Petrol Ofisi 62
Other Summaries 66
Regional Overview 77
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview 77
Oil Production: Caspian Remains Centre Of Growth 77
Oil Consumption: Fuels Demand Gradually Strengthening 78
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Additions 79
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up To Feed Red Dragon 80
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions 81
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies 82
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Production and Consumption, Refining Capacity and Trade 83
Glossary 85
Table: Glossary Of Terms 85
Methodology 87
Industry Forecast Methodology 87
Source 89
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 89
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 91
Table: Weighting 92

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