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Turkey Real Estate Report 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

BMI View: A tentatively improving economy and established banking sector should support growth in thecommercial real estate industry in the medium term. However, in the short term the outlook is marred bysecurity concerns, both domestically and regionally, and Russian trade sanctions, which will all dampeninvestor and consumer confidence.The government's economic reform agenda, as well as a stable banking sector, provides a good backdrop forcommercial real estate growth. However, domestic political issues and regional tensions have raiseduncertainty about business and consumer confidence. Geopolitical turmoil from Islamic State (IS) andRussain sanctions, expected to lose the country some USD3.1bn worth of trade in 2016, will weigh in onTurkey's economic recovery. We forecast real GDP growth of 2.9% in 2016, down from 3.3% in 2015.However, the commercial real estate sector has proved resilient, with rental rates remaining fairly stable.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Office Forecast 15
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per square metre per month) 16
Table: Office Yields, 2011-20120 (%) 17
Retail Forecast 19
Table: Retail Rents, 2010-2016 (per square metre per month) 20
Table: Rental Yields, 2011-2020 (%) 21
Industrial Forecast 23
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2010-2016 (per square metre per month) 25
Table: Rental Yields, 2011-2020 (%) 26
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 28
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Turkey 2014-2024) 28
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 32
Table: Key Projects Residential/Non-Residential 32
Macroeconomic Forecast 34
Economic Analysis 34
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 42
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 42
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 43
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 44
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 45
Industry Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 45
Rewards 46
Risks 46
Market Overview 47
Competitive Landscape 48
Property Developers 48
Property Managers 48
Demographic Forecast 50
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 51
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 51
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 53
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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