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Ukraine Autos Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 34 pages

BMI View: The combination of a poor consumer story and a downbeat outlook for local businesses informsBMI's negative view on the Ukrainian new vehicle sales market in 2016. We are targeting a 6.2% fall insales across for the sector as a whole, with passenger cars set to outperform commercial vehicles.

Table: Key Views

- As of end-November 2015, Ukraine had produced a total of 6,434 vehicles, according to figures from the UkrainianMotor Vehicle Manufacturers Association (UkrAutoProm). This places the country on track to slightly exceed BMI'sbearish forecast of 6,848 units for the full year, but fully underlines the bearish stance we take over the evolution ofdomestic auto production over the near term.

- We expect commercial vehicle (CV) manufacturers to be the least affected by the ongoing conflict in 2016 given theimportant role of heavy trucks in infrastructure redevelopment projects across the conflict-damaged regions of thecountry and the more numerous export opportunities for the heavy truck segment.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Autos Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Production And Sales 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019) 7
Passenger Vehicles 11
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019) 11
Table: Ukraine, Top 10 Brands 9M15 12
Commercial Vehicles 14
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019) 14
Table: Key Players Table: Goods Vehicles (LCV and Heavy Truck) Sales By Brands, Units 15
Table: Key Players Table: Bus Sales By Brands, Units 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Europe - Risk/Reward Index 17
Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential 17
Developed States Show Signs Of Risk 18
Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position 18
Company Profile 19
AvtoKrAZ 19
AvtoZAZ 21
Regional Overview 23
Table: Emerging Europe - Autos Production Investment 23
Demographic Forecast 26
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025) 27
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025) 27
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025) 28
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025) 28
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025) 29
Methodology 31
Industry Forecasts 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Sources 32
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 33
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 34

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