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Croatia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Croatia’s conservative government has failed to fully articulate its policies for the oil and gas sector, but the administration has adopted a pro-business stance generally that benefit investors. The government could help to restore confidence in the sector following protracted delay and uncertainty over licensing rounds. Aside from a floating proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal, the oil and gas sector is likely only to attract a modest level of investment.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts



- Political uncertainty has slowed activity in Croatia’s oil and gas sector. Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic has said his government will prioritise efforts to boost the economy and improve the investment climate, which could include measures intended to clarify the approach to the oil and gas sector. The government’s approach to the sector is not fully understood, but efforts to increase investment in exploration and production would be consistent with the wider pro-business agenda outlined by the government.

- Croatia’s main energy producer, INA, continues to invest in the further development of the country’s oil and gas resources. INA is targeting EOR projects, modest growth from its onshore and offshore fields in Croatia and an increased number of well workovers and well interventions. However despite the investment, Croatia’s overall level of oil and gas output continues to decline.

- Croatia LNG officials plan to finalise agreements with project stakeholders before the end of 2016. Three partners who will share 75 percent of the company and the commercial contracts were expected to be completed by the end of the year. A final investment decision on the project is still expected in early 2017.

Table Of Contents

Croatia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Croatia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Croatia 2014-2019) 13
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Croatia 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Production - Oil 14
Latest Updates 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Oil Production (Croatia 2014-2019) 15
Table: Oil Production (Croatia 2020-2025) 15
Upstream Production - Gas 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Gas Production (Croatia 2014-2019) 18
Table: Gas Production (Croatia 2020-2025) 18
Refining 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Croatia 2014-2019) 21
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Croatia 2020-2025) 21
Refined Fuels Consumption 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Croatia 2014-2019) 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Croatia 2020-2025) 25
Gas Consumption 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Gas Consumption (Croatia 2014-2019) 27
Table: Gas Consumption (Croatia 2020-2025) 27
Trade - Oil 28
Latest Updates 28
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Croatia 2014-2020) 29
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Croatia 2020-2025) 29
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Croatia 2014-2019) 30
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Croatia 2020-2025) 31
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude And Products (Croatia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude And Products (Croatia 2020-2025) 31
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Updates 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (Croatia 2014-2019) 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Croatia 2020-2025) 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 36
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward 36
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Indices 37
Upstream: Above Ground Risks Limit Underground Potential 37
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index 40
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market 40
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index 43
Croatia - Risk/Reward Index 44
Upstream Index 44
Downstream Index 45
Market Overview 46
Croatia Energy Market Overview 46
Regulatory Structure 46
Fiscal Regime 47
Table: Croatia - Upstream Tax Regime 47
Licensing Regime 47
Table: Croatia - Contracts and Licensing Regime 47
Licensing Rounds 47
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Oil Refineries 49
Table: Oil Refineries In Croatia 49
Oil Storage Facilities 49
Oil Terminals/Ports 50
Table: Croatia Oil Terminals and Ports 50
LNG 50
Table: Existing And Planned LNG Terminals 50
Table: Croatia - Gas Storage Terminal 50
Gas Pipeline 51
Table: Croatia - Natural Gas Pipeline 51
Crude Oil Pipelines 51
Table: Croatia - Crude Oil Pipelines 51
Competitive Landscape 52
Competitive Landscape Summary 52
Table: Key Players In Croatian Energy Sector 54
Table: Key Upstream Players 54
Table: Key Downstream Players 54
Regional Overview 55
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview 55
Oil Production: Oil Powerhouses Falter On Weak Prices 55
Oil Consumption: Long-Term Growth To Be Gentle 56
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Key To Competing 57
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Demand-Dependent 58
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions 59
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies 60
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Production and Consumption, Refining Capacity and Trade 61
Glossary 62
Table: Glossary Of Terms 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Source 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 68
Table: Weighting 69

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