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Egypt Retail Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The economic and political situation in Egypt has improved substantially over the last fouryears. The growth of real GDP has been robust in 2014-2015 and is on track to accelerate throughout theforecast period. We expect output gains to translate to declining unemployment, higher wages and risinghousehold incomes, all of which will create substantial growth opportunities for retailers in the ArabWorld's largest market.The Egyptian economy is expected to continue its recovery from the downturn that occurred due to theevents of the revolution in 2011. The country's GDP is expected to grow to USD291bn for 2015, USD31bnmore than it had in 2012.

However, there are still too many people living in poverty as the country strugglesto regain its stability. The future is promising for Egypt, with more investment and a young workingpopulation expected to boost growth further. According to our predictions at BMI, the economy will reach atotal size of USD377bn by 2019, cementing Egypt's position as one of the most important countries in theregion. Household spending makes up just over a third of total GDP, with that pattern expected to continue,with total household spending expected to reach USD128bn by 2019 from USD101bn in 2015. Thereforeretailers can look at Egypt as a potential destination for growth and expansion as the economy grows.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Retail Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Retail SWOT 10
Political 12
Economic 13
Industry Forecast 15
Headline Retail Forecast 15
Table: Total Household Spending (Egypt 2012-2019) 17
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Egypt 2012-2019) 18
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Egypt 2012-2019) 20
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Egypt 2012-2019) 21
Retail Sector Forecast 23
Food, Drink And Tobacco 25
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Egypt 2012-2019) 26
Clothing And Footwear 26
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Egypt 2012-2019) 27
Household Goods 27
Table: Household Goods Spending (Egypt 2012-2019) 28
Personal Care 28
Table: Personal Care Spending (Egypt 2012-2019) 29
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 29
Table: Household Income Data (Egypt 2012-2019) 30
Table: Labour Market Data (Egypt 2012-2019) 33
Demographic Forecast 34
Table: Total Population (Egypt 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Babies (Egypt 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (Egypt 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Children (Egypt 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Egypt 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young People (Egypt 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Egypt 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Egypt 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Young Adults (Egypt 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Egypt 2012-2019) 38
Table: Population: Urban (Egypt 2012-2019) 38
Macroeconomic Forecasts 39
Table: Egypt - Components Of GDP (% Of Total) 42
GDP By Expenditure 42
Table: Egypt - Private Consumption Forecasts 42
Table: Egypt - Government Consumption Forecasts 44
Table: Egypt - Fixed Investment Forecasts 44
Table: Egypt - Net Exports Forecasts 45
Industry Risk/Reward Index 47
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index 47
Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116 47
Egypt - Risk/Reward Index 48
Rewards 48
Risks 49
Market Overview 50
Retail Formats 50
Competitive Landscape 53
Department Store Groups 53
Mass Grocery Retail 54
Fashion 54
Consumer Electronics 55
Glossary 57
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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