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Italy Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 106 pages

BMI View: Our consumer outlook for Italy will continue to brighten over the next quarters, with household spending supported by low inflation levels and employment growth. As a result, sales of food and drink will return to positive territory. Nonetheless, we caution that growth across the sector will remain modest, due to existing high levels of consumption and unfavourable demographic dynamics.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

-2015 food consumption = +0.5% year-on-year (y-o-y); compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019 = +1.2%.

-2015 alcoholic drink value sales = +0.8%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +1.5%.

-2015 soft drink value sales = +0.8%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +2.5%.

-2015 mass grocery retail sales = +0.7%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +1.3%.

Table Of Contents

Italy Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food 8
Industry Forecast 10
Consumer Outlook 10
Food 12
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2012-2019) 13
Confectionery 14
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2012-2019) 15
Canned/Prepared Food 16
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables 16
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 16
Snack Foods 16
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 17
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Italy 2014-2019) 17
Pasta 17
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 18
Meat, Fish And Dairy 18
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Italy 2014-2019) 19
Oils and Fats 19
Drink 20
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Italy 2014-2019) 21
Structural Trends - Hot Drinks 22
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 23
Structural Trends - Alcoholic Drinks 24
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 25
Mass Grocery Retail 27
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019) 29
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Format Type, % 29
Macroeconomic Forecast 30
Economic Analysis 30
Table: Real GDP Growth Forecasts 36
Table: Italy Private Consumption Forecasts 38
Table: Italy Public Consumption Forecasts 38
Table: Italy Fixed Investment Forecasts 39
Table: Italy Net Export Forecasts 41
Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 42
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: Western Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 43
Italy Risk/Reward Index 47
Market Overview 48
Food 48
Food Processing 48
Prepared Food 48
Confectionery 49
Drink 50
Hot Drinks 50
Soft Drinks 50
Alcoholic Drinks 51
Mass Grocery Retail 52
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Italy 2006-2015) 53
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Italy 2006-2015) 53
Competitive Landscape 54
Table: Key Players In Italy's Food Sector 54
Table: Key Players In Italy's Drink Sector 55
Table: Key Players In Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 56
Company Profile 58
Birra Peroni 58
Carapelli Firenze SE 60
Conad 62
Gruppo Barilla 64
Gruppo Campari 67
Gruppo Galbani 69
Perfetti Van Melle 71
Global Industry Overview 73
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 80
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 89
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 90
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 93
Demographic Forecast 95
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Italy 1990-2025) 96
Table: Key Population Ratios (Italy 1990-2025) 96
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Italy 1990-2025) 97
Table: Population By Age Group (Italy 1990-2025) 97
Table: Population By Age Group % (Italy 1990-2025) 98
Glossary 100
Food and Drink 100
Mass Grocery Retail 100
Methodology 102
Industry Forecast Methodology 102
Sector-Specific Methodology 103
Sources 103
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 104
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 105
Table: Weighting 106

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