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Saudi Arabia Retail Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Growing economic prosperity, combined with robust GDP growth and lower unemployment,will help boost the amount of disposable income for Saudi households over our forecast period.Nevertheless, the unstable geopolitical backdrop will continue to exert pressure on the economy as well asthe retail sector. Furthermore, the recent slump in oil prices will also continue to take its toll on theeconomy.As one of the world's three largest oil producers, Saudi Arabia has become increasingly vulnerable tofluctuations in the oil sector.

Due to the country's overproduction, the value of oil has notably fallen by over60% since mid-2014 and this has evidently dented the country's budget. With the growing productionaround the world, it is unclear whether the benchmark will start rising again in the nearest future.Furthermore, Saudi Arabia's leadership has made multiple promises since the beginning of 2015 that itwould not cut its oil production to reverse the price trend. Despite this, Real GDP growth will reach aforecast 3.2% in 2016 however is expected to decline to 2.7% during 2017.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Retail Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Industry Forecast 14
Headline Retail Forecast 14
Table: Total Household Spending (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 19
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Food, Drink and Tobacco 22
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 22
Clothing and Footwear 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 24
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 25
Personal Care 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 26
Table: Household Income Data (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 28
Table: Labour Market Data (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 31
Demographic Forecast 32
Table: Total Population (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 34
Table: Population: Babies (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 34
Table: Population: Young Children (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Children (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Young People (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young Adults (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Urban (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 37
Macroeconomic Forecasts 38
Economic Analysis 38
Table: Economic Activity (Saudi Arabia 2010-2019) 45
Industry Risk Reward Index 46
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index 46
Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116 46
Saudi Arabia Risk/Reward Index 47
Rewards 47
Risks 48
Market Overview 49
Competitive Landscape 53
Department Stores 53
Mass Grocery Retail 54
Fashion 55
Consumer Electronics 56
Glossary 58
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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