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Slovenia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Slovenia's upstream sector remains close to inexistent, with little to no oil or gas productionwithin our forecast period. While there are glimmers of hope in gas segment attributed to the AscentoperatedPetišovci tight gas project, the initiative is facing continued regulatory and funding headwinds,thereby informing our modest upstream outlook. We acknowledge upside risk to our forecast in the event ofits start-up, however, overall volumes are likely to be relatively modest, with imported Russian gas set todominate supply for the foreseeable future.The main trends and developments in Slovenia's oil and gas sector are:

- There is evidence of commercial gas deposits close to the Hungarian border that can be exploited forpower generation purposes. However, given project delays we do not include it within our reserves orproduction forecast. The country's upstream reserves remain extremely limited at the moment.

- Slovenian natural gas production will remain limited over the course of our forecast period given the lackof upstream development in the country. While the long-delayed Petišovci project poses upside risk toour forecast, we maintain our more modest outlook given continued financial and regulatory delaysassociated with the initiative.

Table Of Contents

Slovenia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Slovenia 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Upstream Production - Oil 12
Upstream Production - Gas 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Gas Production (Slovenia 2013-2018) 15
Table: Gas Production (Slovenia 2019-2024) 15
Refining 16
Refined Fuels Consumption 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Slovenia 2013-2018) 18
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Slovenia 2019-2024) 18
Gas Consumption 19
Table: Gas Consumption (Slovenia 2013-2018) 20
Table: Gas Consumption (Slovenia 2019-2024) 20
Trade - Oil 21
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Slovenia 2013-2018) 22
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Slovenia 2019-2024) 23
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 24
Table: Gas Net Exports (Slovenia 2013-2018) 25
Table: Gas Net Exports (Slovenia 2019-2024) 25
Industry Risk Reward Index 26
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward 26
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index 27
Upstream: China Still The Target Market 27
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index 30
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market 30
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index 32
Slovenia - Risk/Reward Index 33
Slovenia Upstream Score - Overview 33
Slovenia Upstream Score - Rewards 33
Slovenia Upstream Score - Risks 34
Slovenia Downstream Score - Overview 34
Market Overview 35
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 35
Oil Refineries 35
Table: Refineries In Slovenia 35
Service Stations 35
Oil Storage Facilities 35
Oil Terminals/Ports 35
Oil Pipelines 36
Gas Pipelines 36
Competitive Landscape 38
Competitive Landscape Summary 38
Table: Key Downstream Players 39
Company Profile 40
Geoplin 40
Nafta Lendava 43
Petrol 45
Other Summaries 50
Regional Overview 52
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview 52
Oil Production: Caspian Remains Centre Of Growth 52
Oil Consumption: Fuels Demand Gradually Strengthening 53
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Additions 54
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up To Feed Red Dragon 55
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions 56
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies 57
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Production and Consumption, Refining Capacity and Trade 58
Glossary 60
Table: Glossary Of Terms 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Source 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 66
Table: Weighting 67

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