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  4. > South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q1 2017

South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 80 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits.

Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms. Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings.

BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks. The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, June 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Middle East And Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Market Overview 23
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 23
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 23
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 24
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 25
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 26
Economic Outlook 27
Competitive Landscape 34
Market Structure 34
Protagonists 34
Table: Protagonists In South Africa's Commercial Banking Sector 34
Definition of The Commercial Banking Universe 34
List Of Banks 35
Table: Member Banks 35
Company Profile 37
Absa Bank (Barclays Africa Group) 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
African Bank 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
FirstRand 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 48
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Investec 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
Nedbank Group 53
Table: Stock Market Indicators 55
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 56
Standard Bank 57
Table: Stock Market Indicators 59
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 59
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 59
Table: Key Ratios (%) 60
Regional Overview 61
Global Industry Overview 64
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 64
Regional Outlooks 66
Demographic Forecast 71
Demographic Outlook 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 74
Methodology 76
Industry Forecast Methodology 76
Sector-Specific Methodology 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 78
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 80

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