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  5. > Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The operating environment for the agribusiness sector has deteriorated significantly over recentyears, due to a poor macroeconomic climate, a shortage of foreign currency and agricultural inputs, andgovernment mismanagement Venezuela's economy will be under extreme downward pressure in 2015 and2016 amidst the drop in international oil prices The growing headwinds to the economy will weigh onagricultural production and consumption in the coming years, and we forecast most of the commodities tosee modest if not declining growth out to 2019 Producers of agricultural goods will struggle as risingproduction costs and controlled prices at the farm level reduce marginsKey Forecasts- Coffee production decline to 2018/19: 204% to 549,000 60kg bags Venezuela's coffee sector suffersfrom many structural weaknesses and is on the decline Low profitability (due to government-mandatedprices), the lack of private and public investment and coffee rust disease will impede production fromgrowing

Table Of Contents

Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 10
Grains Outlook 10
Table: Venezuela - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Venezuela - Risks To Grains Outlook 12
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Venezuela 2011-2019) 16
Coffee Outlook 17
Table: Venezuela - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Venezuela - Risks To Coffee Outlook 18
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Venezuela 2011-2019) 20
Livestock Outlook 21
Table: Venezuela - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Venezuela - Risks To Livestock Outlook 22
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Venezuela 2011-2019) 24
Commodity Strategy 26
Global Commodities Strategy 26
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 26
Upstream Analysis 28
Americas GM Outlook 28
Americas Machinery Outlook 36
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 39
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 43
Downstream Analysis 48
Food 48
Food Consumption 48
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019) 49
Confectionery 49
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019) 50
Regional Overview 51
Competitive Landscape 57
Table: Venezuela Agribusiness Competitive Landscape 57
Demographic Forecast 58
Demographic Outlook 2015 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025) 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64

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