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Algeria Infrastructure Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

BMI View: Falling global oil prices have had a huge impact of government revenues in Algeria, in turn resulting in delays to major public infrastructure projects and a downturn in private investor interest in the leading oil and gas sector. The country's large infrastructure deficit, particularly in terms of residential and social infrastructure, will ensure some level of growth is maintained over the forecast period. Similarly, government moves to diversify the economy by expanding domestic production/manufacturing capacity and establishing a position as a regional trade hub will attract some level of investment, particularly from increasingly important economic and trading partner China.

Forecasts and Latest Updates

-Earlier in 2015 the government announced plans to invest USD215bn on infrastructure during 2015-2019. The funds will primarily be spent on hospital construction and renovation, transport infrastructure, ports/airports, and wastewater management and desalination as part of ongoing attempts to quell social unrest and stimulate economic growth.
-With oil revenues declining by 50% in 2015, Algeria has however cut the 2016 government budget by 9% and is increasingly reliant upon reserves to bolster public spending plans. As such it is unclear if the 2015-2019 development plan will be fully enacted and we have revised downwards our forecasts for growth in the construction sector with construction industry value expected to show real growth of 2.87% in 2016, followed by average annual growth of 4.8% over the remainder of the forecast period to 2025.
-Budget constraints mean that several projects, such as the 8km northern extension of Algiers metro Line 1 have been put on hold. Studies on the nine-station extension from Place des Martyrs to Chevalley had been concluded, but Entreprise Metro d'Alger (EMA) does not have the financing in place to proceed with works.

Table Of Contents

Algeria Infrastructure Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Algeria 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Algeria 2015-2015) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Algeria 2015-2025) 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport 19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities 24
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 25
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Major Projects - Residential/ Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 28
Industry Risk Reward Index 29
Algeria - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 29
Middle East- MENA Infrastructure RRI: Old Risks, New Rewards 30
Table: MENA RRI Table 35
Market Overview 36
Competitive Landscape 36
Company Profile 39
Sonelgaz 39
Groupe Cosider 41
Methodology 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sector-Specific Methodology 44
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Sector-Specific Methodology 49
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 50

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