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Latvia Food and Drink Report 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 124 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Household confidence has improved over the last year and will likely keep rising in 2016, as a result of positive developments in the labour market and steadily growing wages. Registered cars also continued to rise 2015, tallying with steady retail sales growth. Taken together, the outlook for households remains one of gradual but robust improvement as the sector draws to the end of its deleveraging cycle and disposable incomes rise. Low inflation is also helping to bolster household purchasing power, although consumer price growth will begin to pick up at the start of 2016 as the base effects from low oil decline. However, we forecast household consumption to stay static relative to total GDP over the next five years, at 61%.


Headline Industry Data (Local Currency)
- 2015 per capita food consumption: +3.1%; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +4.5%
- 2015 alcoholic drinks sales: 4.2%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019: 14.5%
- 2015 soft drinks sales: +3.1%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019: +3.7%
- 2015 mass grocery retail sales: +8.8%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019: +3.5%

Table Of Contents

Latvia Food and Drink Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food and Drink . 9
Industry Forecast .. 13
Consumer Outlook .. 13
Latest Updates: . 13
Structural Trends: . 13
Food .. 15
Latest updates: .. 15
Structural Trends: . 15
Food Consumption 15
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) 17
Confectionery . 17
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) . . 19
Meat . 19
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Latvia 2012-2019) . . 20
Snack Food . 20
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) 21
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Latvia 2012-2019) 21
Pasta 21
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) 22
Dairy 22
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) 23
Drink . 24
Latest Updates: . 24
Structural Trends: . 24
Alcoholic Drinks 24
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) . . 26
Soft Drinks .. 26
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) 28
Hot Drinks .. 29
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Latvia 2012-2019) 30
Mass Grocery Retail .. 30
Latest Updates: . 30
Structural Trends: . 30
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format . 31
Macroeconomic Forecast 32
Economic Analysis .. 32
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Latvia 2012-2019) . 37
Industry Risk Reward Index 38
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 39
Latvia Risk/Reward Index .. 43
Market Overview 45
Food .. 45
Food Consumption 45
Food Processing 45
Leading Food Producers . 46
Confectionery . 47
Trade 48
Agriculture . 49
Drink . 50
Alcoholic Drinks 50
Soft Drinks .. 54
Hot Drinks .. 56
Mass Grocery Retail .. 57
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Latvia 2006-2010) . 59
Table: Average Annual Sales Per Outlet By Format, 2012 . . 59
Competitive Landscape . 60
Table: Key Players In Latvia's Food and Drink Sector . . 60
Table: Key Players In Latvia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector . 61
Company Profile . 63
Paulig Baltic 63
Laima . 65
Margota . 68
Rigas Piena Kombinats .. 70
Livu Alus .. 73
Aldaris .. 75
Cesu Alus .. 78
Cido Grupa .. 80
Latvijas balzams .. 82
Maxima LT 84
Rimi Baltic 86
Elvi . 89
Global Industry Overview .. 91
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast . 98
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry . 107
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast . . 108
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 111
Demographic Forecast 113
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Latvia 1990-2025) 114
Table: Key Population Ratios (Latvia 1990-2025) . 114
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Latvia 1990-2025) . . 115
Table: Population By Age Group (Latvia 1990-2025) 115
Table: Population By Age Group % (Latvia 1990-2025) . 116
Glossary 118
Food and Drink .. 118
Mass Grocery Retail .. 118
Methodology .. 120
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 120
Sector-Specific Methodology 121
Sources . 121
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 122
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 123
Table: Weighting 124

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