Lithuania Food and Drink Report 2015

  • December 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 95 pages

While a breakdown of the Q314 GDP figure is not available at the time of writing, we believe domestic demand has also suffered due to the significance of the external sector for Lithuania's small, open economy. Lending support to our view has been a series of high-frequency economic indicators. Industrial production contracted by 0.5% y-o-y in September on a workday-adjusted basis. While pointing to growing pressure on private consumption, the modest abatement in retail trade growth is also reflective of the resilience of the household sector, which has been bolstered by falling unemployment and rising wages.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

- Per capita food consumption growth in 2014: +2.9%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2018: +3.7%
- Alcoholic drinks sales value growth in 2014: +2.0%; CAGR to 2018: +4.6%
- Total mass grocery retail sales growth in 2014: +0.8%; CAGR to 2018: +6.2%

Table Of Contents

Lithuania Food and Drink Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food 8
Drink 10
Mass Grocery Retail 12
Industry Forecast 13
Consumer Outlook 13
Food 16
Food Consumption 16
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2011-2018) 16
Meat 17
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Lithuania 2013-2018) 17
Snack Food 17
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 18
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Lithuania 2013-2018) 18
Other Tables 19
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 19
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 19
Drink 21
Alcoholic Drinks 21
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 22
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Lithuania 2013-2018) 23
Hot Drinks 24
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 24
Mass Grocery Retail 26
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 27
Table: Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format 27
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (Lithuania 2013-2018) 28
Macroeconomic Forecasts 29
Economic Analysis 29
Table: Lithuania - Economic Activity 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 35
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index 35
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q115 36
Market Overview 40
Food 40
Food Consumption 40
Food Processing 40
Trade 42
Agriculture 42
Drink 43
Alcoholic Drinks 43
Soft Drinks 45
Hot Drinks 47
Mass Grocery Retail 48
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Lithuania 2005-2014) 49
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Lithuania 2005-2014) 50
Industry Trends And Developments 51
Food 51
Key Industry Trends And Developments 51
Drink 52
Key Industry Trends And Developments 52
Mass Grocery Retail 52
Competitive Landscape 53
Table: Key Players In Lithuania's Food Sector 53
Table: Key Players In Lithuania's Drink Sector 54
Table: Key Players In Lithuania's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 54
Company Profile 56
IKI Group 56
Paulig Baltic AS 58
AB Rokiskio Suris 60
Kalnapilis-Tauro Grupe 62
Stumbras 64
AB Alita 66
Rimia Baltic AB 68
Maxima LT 70
Global Industry Overview 72
Table: Dollar General And Family Dollar Historic Quarterly Same-Store Sales Growth (% Change Y-O-Y) 76
Table: Selected US And Global Spirits Companies - Historical Financial Indicators 79
Table: Select US Beverage Companies - Historic Eva Spread 81
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 82
Demographic Forecast 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Lithuania 1990-2025) 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Lithuania 1990-2025) 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Lithuania 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Lithuania 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Lithuania 1990-2025) 87
Glossary 89
Food and Drink 89
Mass Grocery Retail 89
Methodology 91
Industry Forecast Methodology 91
Sector-Specific Methodology 92
Sources 92
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 93
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 94
Table: Weighting 95

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