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Angola Infrastructure Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 33 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Construction industry growth in Angola will remain subdued until 2020 as budgetary pressures weigh on the government's ability to finance infrastructure development. Growing Chinese involvement in the market, notably in oil, transport and power infrastructure will help keep growth in positive territory over the short term.

Forecast & Industry Developments


- Our short-term forecast for the Angola construction industry to record annual average growth of 3.5% in real terms between 2017 and 2019 remains unchanged, as the weak commodities outlook continues to limit revenues and the government's ability to finance infrastructure development. Continued support from China in the form of cheap credit lines and the increasing involvement of Chinese firms in oil infrastructure and the transport and power sectors will be crucial in keeping industry growth in positive territory.

- We expect growth to pick up from 2020, in line with the expected recovery in Brent Crude oil prices. This will not only drive further investment in oil industry and associated infrastructure, but also help to relieve budgetary pressures which will allow for increased spending to be directed towards infrastructure development. Real growth is projected at 6.8% in 2020.

- We forecast the market to record annual average growth of 5.6% in real terms between 2017 and 2025.

Table Of Contents

Angola Infrastructure Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2017-2021) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Angola 2017) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2016-2025) 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 18
Rewards 18
Risks 18
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Macroeconomic And Political Headwinds Heighten Risks 19
Table: SSA RRI 24
Methodology 26
Industry Forecast Methodology 26
Sector-Specific Methodology 27
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 32
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 33

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