Netherlands Metals Report Q1 2015

  • December 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 44 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: After back-to-back years of volatility in the Dutch metals sector, 2014 looks to have laid the foundation for a prolonged period of stability in terms of both production and consumption. This positive momentum in the sector is set to continue through to the end of our forecast period in 2018. BMI expects steel to continue to dominate the country's metals industry; however, we see no significant new investment in the sub-sector over the coming years. Tata Steel, the largest producer in the country, is facing up to an increasingly hostile and competitive operating environment, with cheap steel and aluminium being exported from China. Nevertheless, opportunities remain in high-quality steel, of which the Netherlands is a key producer.

Long-Term Growth In Output

After posting a contraction in both production and consumption in 2012 and 2013, 2014 heralded a turnaround for the steel industry. We expect the year to close with output up 1.4% and consumption up 2.1% y-o-y. However, BMI cautions that monthly data for steel production in the Netherlands suggests that a strong close to the year will be necessary for such estimates to become a reality. Over the first eight months of the year (correct to data published for August) output rose for five months and contracted for three. Although this leaves the market sat below where it started in 2014, we still maintain our year-end estimates.

Table Of Contents

Netherlands Metals Report Q1 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Metals SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Steel: Growth To Head Higher 12
Table: Steel Production and Consumption (Netherlands 2010-2018) 15
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Netherlands 2005-2012) 15
Regulatory Development 16
Table: The Netherlands - Political Overview 16
Commodities Forecast 18
Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016 18
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast 18
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months) 18
Long-Term Outlook 19
Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite 20
Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon 21
Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last 22
Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery 23
Risks To Price Forecast 23
Table: Steel Data and Forecasts 24
Commodity Strategy 24
Ferrous Metals 26
Non-Ferrous Metals: 29
Aluminium: Prices To Remain Elevated Following Recent Dip 29
Copper: Chinese Weakness To Create Further Headwinds 30
Nickel: No Sustained Rally Ahead 32
Zinc: Subdued Short-Term Outlook Before Multi-Year Gains 35
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 36
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Largest Listed European Metals Producers 39
Company Profile 42
Tata Steel Limited 42
Company Overview 43
Company Strategy 43
Methodology 44
Cross Checks 44

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